CAIE S2 2011 June — Question 6

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2011
SessionJune
TopicHypothesis test of a Poisson distribution

6 The number of injuries per month at a certain factory has a Poisson distribution. In the past the mean was 2.1 injuries per month. New safety procedures are put in place and the management wishes to use the next 3 months to test, at the \(2 \%\) significance level, whether there are now fewer injuries than before, on average.
  1. Find the critical region for the test.
  2. Find the probability of a Type I error.
  3. During the next 3 months there are a total of 3 injuries. Carry out the test.
  4. Assuming that the mean remains 2.1 , calculate an estimate of the probability that there will be fewer than 20 injuries during the next 12 months.