CAIE S1 2012 November — Question 6

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2012
SessionNovember
TopicNormal Distribution
TypeNormal approximation to binomial

6 Ana meets her friends once every day. For each day the probability that she is early is 0.05 and the probability that she is late is 0.75 . Otherwise she is on time.
  1. Find the probability that she is on time on fewer than 20 of the next 96 days.
  2. If she is early there is a probability of 0.7 that she will eat a banana. If she is late she does not eat a banana. If she is on time there is a probability of 0.4 that she will eat a banana. Given that for one particular meeting with friends she does not eat a banana, find the probability that she is on time.