CAIE S1 2011 November — Question 1 6 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2011
SessionNovember
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicNormal Distribution
TypeLinear relationship μ = kσ
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward normal distribution problem requiring standardization and inverse normal lookup, followed by a routine binomial probability calculation. The constraint μ = 3σ simplifies to a single-variable problem, and both parts use standard techniques with no novel insight required.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04e Normal distribution: as model N(mu, sigma^2)2.04f Find normal probabilities: Z transformation

1 The random variable \(X\) is normally distributed and is such that the mean \(\mu\) is three times the standard deviation \(\sigma\). It is given that \(\mathrm { P } ( X < 25 ) = 0.648\).
  1. Find the values of \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\).
  2. Find the probability that, from 6 random values of \(X\), exactly 4 are greater than 25 .

Question 1:
Part (i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(z = 0.38\)B1 \(\pm 0.38\) (0) seen or implied
\(\pm\frac{25-\mu}{\mu/3} = 0.38\)M1 Standardising attempt resulting in \(z =\) some \(\mu/\sigma\)/both, no continuity correction
(substituting to eliminate \(\mu\) or \(\sigma\))M1 Substituting to eliminate \(\mu\) or \(\sigma\) and attempt to solve linear equation
\(\mu = 22.2,\ \sigma = 7.40\)A1 [4] Both correct
Part (ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(P(4) = {}^6C_4(0.352)^4(0.648)^2\)M1 \({}^6C_r \times (p)^r \times (1-p)^{6-r},\ r = 2\) or \(4\)
\(= 0.0967\)A1 [2] Correct answer
## Question 1:

### Part (i)

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $z = 0.38$ | B1 | $\pm 0.38$ (0) seen or implied |
| $\pm\frac{25-\mu}{\mu/3} = 0.38$ | M1 | Standardising attempt resulting in $z =$ some $\mu/\sigma$/both, no continuity correction |
| (substituting to eliminate $\mu$ or $\sigma$) | M1 | Substituting to eliminate $\mu$ or $\sigma$ and attempt to solve linear equation |
| $\mu = 22.2,\ \sigma = 7.40$ | A1 [4] | Both correct |

### Part (ii)

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $P(4) = {}^6C_4(0.352)^4(0.648)^2$ | M1 | ${}^6C_r \times (p)^r \times (1-p)^{6-r},\ r = 2$ or $4$ |
| $= 0.0967$ | A1 [2] | Correct answer |

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1 The random variable $X$ is normally distributed and is such that the mean $\mu$ is three times the standard deviation $\sigma$. It is given that $\mathrm { P } ( X < 25 ) = 0.648$.\\
(i) Find the values of $\mu$ and $\sigma$.\\
(ii) Find the probability that, from 6 random values of $X$, exactly 4 are greater than 25 .

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S1 2011 Q1 [6]}}