CAIE S2 2023 June — Question 7

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2023
SessionJune
TopicHypothesis test of a Poisson distribution

7 The number of accidents per week at a certain factory has a Poisson distribution. In the past the mean has been 1.9 accidents per week. Last year, the manager gave all his employees a new booklet on safety. He decides to test, at the 5\% significance level, whether the mean number of accidents has been reduced. He notes the number of accidents during 4 randomly chosen weeks this year.
  1. State suitable null and alternative hypotheses for the test.
  2. Find the critical region for the test and state the probability of a Type I error.
  3. State what is meant by a Type I error in this context.
  4. During the 4 randomly chosen weeks there are a total of 3 accidents. State the conclusion that the manager should reach. Give a reason for your answer.
  5. Assuming that the mean remains 1.9 accidents per week, use a suitable approximation to calculate the probability that there will be more than 100 accidents during a 52-week period.
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