CAIE S2 2023 March — Question 4

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2023
SessionMarch
TopicHypothesis test of a Poisson distribution

4 The number of accidents per 3-month period on a certain road has the distribution \(\operatorname { Po } ( \lambda )\). In the past the value of \(\lambda\) has been 5.7. Following some changes to the road, the council carries out a hypothesis test to determine whether the value of \(\lambda\) has decreased. If there are fewer than 3 accidents in a randomly chosen 3 -month period, the council will conclude that the value of \(\lambda\) has decreased.
  1. Find the probability of a Type I error.
  2. Find the probability of a Type II error if the mean number of accidents per 3-month period is now actually 0.9 .