CAIE S1 2017 June — Question 7

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2017
SessionJune
TopicConditional Probability
TypeStandard Bayes with discrete events

7 During the school holidays, each day Khalid either rides on his bicycle with probability 0.6 , or on his skateboard with probability 0.4 . Khalid does not ride on both on the same day. If he rides on his bicycle then the probability that he hurts himself is 0.05 . If he rides on his skateboard the probability that he hurts himself is 0.75 .
  1. Find the probability that Khalid hurts himself on any particular day.
  2. Given that Khalid hurts himself on a particular day, find the probability that he is riding on his skateboard.
  3. There are 45 days of school holidays. Show that the variance of the number of days Khalid rides on his skateboard is the same as the variance of the number of days that Khalid rides on his bicycle.
  4. Find the probability that Khalid rides on his skateboard on at least 2 of 10 randomly chosen days in the school holidays.