CAIE S1 2013 June — Question 5

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2013
SessionJune
TopicConditional Probability
TypeStandard Bayes with discrete events

5
  1. John plays two games of squash. The probability that he wins his first game is 0.3 . If he wins his first game, the probability that he wins his second game is 0.6 . If he loses his first game, the probability that he wins his second game is 0.15 . Given that he wins his second game, find the probability that he won his first game.
  2. Jack has a pack of 15 cards. 10 cards have a picture of a robot on them and 5 cards have a picture of an aeroplane on them. Emma has a pack of cards. 7 cards have a picture of a robot on them and \(x - 3\) cards have a picture of an aeroplane on them. One card is taken at random from Jack's pack and one card is taken at random from Emma's pack. The probability that both cards have pictures of robots on them is \(\frac { 7 } { 18 }\). Write down an equation in terms of \(x\) and hence find the value of \(x\).