CAIE S1 2011 June — Question 5 8 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2011
SessionJune
Marks8
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicNormal Distribution
TypeQuadratic relationship μ = kσ²
DifficultyChallenging +1.2 Part (a) requires solving simultaneous equations involving a quadratic relationship and using inverse normal tables with standardization, which is non-routine for S1. Part (b) is a standard symmetric probability calculation. The combination of algebraic manipulation with normal distribution and the quadratic constraint elevates this above typical textbook exercises.
Spec2.04e Normal distribution: as model N(mu, sigma^2)2.04f Find normal probabilities: Z transformation

5
  1. The random variable \(X\) is normally distributed with mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\). It is given that \(3 \mu = 7 \sigma ^ { 2 }\) and that \(\mathrm { P } ( X > 2 \mu ) = 0.1016\). Find \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\).
  2. It is given that \(Y \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 33,21 )\). Find the value of \(a\) given that \(\mathrm { P } ( 33 - a < Y < 33 + a ) = 0.5\).

AnswerMarks Guidance
(a) \(z > \frac{2\mu - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{\mu}{3\sigma} = \frac{7\sigma}{3} = 1.272\)M1 Standardising attempt resulting in \(z > \text{some } \mu/\sigma\)
M1Substituting to eliminate \(\mu\) or \(\sigma\)
B11.272 seen
A1 [4]Both answers correct
\(\sigma = 0.545\)
AnswerMarks
\(\mu = 0.693\)
(b) \(P(X < a + 33) = 0.75\)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(z = 0.674\)M1 Using 0.75 o.e
A1\(\pm 0.674\) seen
\(\frac{a + 33 - 33}{\sqrt{21}} = 0.674\)M1 Standardising, no cc, must have sq rt
\(a = 3.09\)A1 [4] Correct answer
**(a)** $z > \frac{2\mu - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{\mu}{3\sigma} = \frac{7\sigma}{3} = 1.272$ | M1 | Standardising attempt resulting in $z > \text{some } \mu/\sigma$
| M1 | Substituting to eliminate $\mu$ or $\sigma$
| B1 | 1.272 seen
| A1 [4] | Both answers correct

$\sigma = 0.545$
$\mu = 0.693$ | |

**(b)** $P(X < a + 33) = 0.75$
$z = 0.674$ | M1 | Using 0.75 o.e
| A1 | $\pm 0.674$ seen
$\frac{a + 33 - 33}{\sqrt{21}} = 0.674$ | M1 | Standardising, no cc, must have sq rt
$a = 3.09$ | A1 [4] | Correct answer
5
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item The random variable $X$ is normally distributed with mean $\mu$ and standard deviation $\sigma$. It is given that $3 \mu = 7 \sigma ^ { 2 }$ and that $\mathrm { P } ( X > 2 \mu ) = 0.1016$. Find $\mu$ and $\sigma$.
\item It is given that $Y \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 33,21 )$. Find the value of $a$ given that $\mathrm { P } ( 33 - a < Y < 33 + a ) = 0.5$.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S1 2011 Q5 [8]}}