CAIE S1 2023 November — Question 6

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2023
SessionNovember
TopicTree Diagrams
TypeSequential selection without replacement

6 Freddie has two bags of marbles.
Bag \(X\) contains 7 red marbles and 3 blue marbles.
Bag \(Y\) contains 4 red marbles and 1 blue marble.
Freddie chooses one of the bags at random. A marble is removed at random from that bag and not replaced. A new red marble is now added to each bag. A second marble is then removed at random from the same bag that the first marble had been removed from.
  1. Draw a tree diagram to represent this information, showing the probability on each of the branches.
  2. Find the probability that both of the marbles removed from the bag are the same colour.
  3. Find the probability that bag \(Y\) is chosen given that the marbles removed are not both the same colour.