CAIE S1 2024 March — Question 1

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2024
SessionMarch
TopicConditional Probability
TypeProbability with replacement vs without replacement

1 A bag contains 9 blue marbles and 3 red marbles. One marble is chosen at random from the bag. If this marble is blue, it is replaced back into the bag. If this marble is red, it is not returned to the bag. A second marble is now chosen at random from the bag.
  1. Find the probability that both the marbles chosen are red.
  2. Find the probability that the first marble chosen is blue given that the second marble chosen is red.