CAIE S1 2023 June — Question 2

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2023
SessionJune
TopicTree Diagrams
TypeFirst occurrence probability

2 A sports event is taking place for 4 days, beginning on Sunday. The probability that it will rain on Sunday is 0.4 . On any subsequent day, the probability that it will rain is 0.7 if it rained on the previous day and 0.2 if it did not rain on the previous day.
  1. Find the probability that it does not rain on any of the 4 days of the event.
  2. Find the probability that the first day on which it rains during the event is Tuesday.
  3. Find the probability that it rains on exactly one of the 4 days of the event.