CAIE S1 2021 June — Question 4 2 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2021
SessionJune
Marks2
TopicTree Diagrams
TypeMulti-stage with stopping condition

4 To gain a place at a science college, students first have to pass a written test and then a practical test.
Each student is allowed a maximum of two attempts at the written test. A student is only allowed a second attempt if they fail the first attempt. No student is allowed more than one attempt at the practical test. If a student fails both attempts at the written test, then they cannot attempt the practical test. The probability that a student will pass the written test at the first attempt is 0.8 . If a student fails the first attempt at the written test, the probability that they will pass at the second attempt is 0.6 . The probability that a student will pass the practical test is always 0.3 .
  1. Draw a tree diagram to represent this information, showing the probabilities on the branches.
  2. Find the probability that a randomly chosen student will succeed in gaining a place at the college.
    [0pt] [2]
  3. Find the probability that a randomly chosen student passes the written test at the first attempt given that the student succeeds in gaining a place at the college.