SPS SPS SM Statistics 2024 September — Question 5 10 marks

Exam BoardSPS
ModuleSPS SM Statistics (SPS SM Statistics)
Year2024
SessionSeptember
Marks10
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeIndependent binomial samples with compound probability
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a straightforward binomial distribution question requiring identification of the model (part i), a single probability calculation (part ii), and a two-stage binomial problem (part iii). While part (iii) requires recognizing a binomial-of-binomials structure, all techniques are standard A-level statistics with no novel insight needed. The multi-part structure and 10 marks suggest slightly below average difficulty overall.
Spec5.02b Expectation and variance: discrete random variables5.02c Linear coding: effects on mean and variance

At a factory that makes crockery the quality control department has found that 10\% of plates have minor faults. These are classed as 'seconds'. Plates are stored in batches of 12. The number of seconds in a batch is denoted by \(X\).
  1. State an appropriate distribution with which to model \(X\). Give the value(s) of any parameter(s) and state any assumptions required for the model to be valid. [4]
Assume now that your model is valid.
  1. Find
    1. P\((X = 3)\), [2]
  2. A random sample of 4 batches is selected. Find the probability that the number of these batches that contain at least 1 second is fewer than 3. [4]

At a factory that makes crockery the quality control department has found that 10\% of plates have minor faults. These are classed as 'seconds'. Plates are stored in batches of 12. The number of seconds in a batch is denoted by $X$.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item State an appropriate distribution with which to model $X$. Give the value(s) of any parameter(s) and state any assumptions required for the model to be valid. [4]
\end{enumerate}

Assume now that your model is valid.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\setcounter{enumi}{1}
\item Find
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item P$(X = 3)$, [2]
\end{enumerate}

\item A random sample of 4 batches is selected. Find the probability that the number of these batches that contain at least 1 second is fewer than 3. [4]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{SPS SPS SM Statistics 2024 Q5 [10]}}