WJEC Further Unit 5 2024 June — Question 5 19 marks

Exam BoardWJEC
ModuleFurther Unit 5 (Further Unit 5)
Year2024
SessionJune
Marks19
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicDiscrete Random Variables
TypeVariance of estimators
DifficultyChallenging +1.8 This is a substantial Further Maths statistics question requiring multiple techniques: deriving moments from a pdf, proving unbiasedness, computing variance of estimators, finding standard errors, and comparing estimator efficiency. Part (a)(ii) requires number-theoretic insight about when √n divides α² to yield rational standard errors. The multi-part structure with 19 total marks and the need to work with abstract parameter α elevates this above routine A-level questions, though the individual techniques are standard for Further Maths S2/S3 content.
Spec5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.05b Unbiased estimates: of population mean and variance

The probability density function of the continuous random variable \(X\) is given by $$f(x) = \frac{3x^2}{\alpha^3} \quad \text{for } 0 \leq x \leq \alpha$$ $$f(x) = 0 \quad \text{otherwise.}$$ \(\overline{X}\) is the mean of a random sample of \(n\) observations of \(X\).
    1. Show that \(U = \frac{4\overline{X}}{3}\) is an unbiased estimator for \(\alpha\). [5]
    2. If \(\alpha\) is an integer, what is the smallest value of \(n\) that gives a rational value for the standard error of \(U\)? [9]
  1. \(\overline{X}_1\) and \(\overline{X}_2\) are the means of independent random samples of \(X\), each of size \(n\). The estimator \(V = 4\overline{X}_1 - \frac{8}{3}\overline{X}_2\) is also an unbiased estimator for \(\alpha\).
    1. Show that \(\frac{\text{Var}(U)}{\text{Var}(V)} = \frac{1}{13}\). [4]
    2. Hence state, with a reason, which of \(U\) or \(V\) is the better estimator. [1]

Question 5:
AnswerMarks
519
Question 5:
5 | 19
The probability density function of the continuous random variable $X$ is given by

$$f(x) = \frac{3x^2}{\alpha^3} \quad \text{for } 0 \leq x \leq \alpha$$

$$f(x) = 0 \quad \text{otherwise.}$$

$\overline{X}$ is the mean of a random sample of $n$ observations of $X$.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item \begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Show that $U = \frac{4\overline{X}}{3}$ is an unbiased estimator for $\alpha$. [5]

\item If $\alpha$ is an integer, what is the smallest value of $n$ that gives a rational value for the standard error of $U$? [9]
\end{enumerate}

\item $\overline{X}_1$ and $\overline{X}_2$ are the means of independent random samples of $X$, each of size $n$.

The estimator $V = 4\overline{X}_1 - \frac{8}{3}\overline{X}_2$ is also an unbiased estimator for $\alpha$.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Show that $\frac{\text{Var}(U)}{\text{Var}(V)} = \frac{1}{13}$. [4]

\item Hence state, with a reason, which of $U$ or $V$ is the better estimator. [1]
\end{enumerate}
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{WJEC Further Unit 5 2024 Q5 [19]}}