CAIE FP2 2010 November — Question 7 7 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleFP2 (Further Pure Mathematics 2)
Year2010
SessionNovember
Marks7
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicGeometric Distribution
TypeFind minimum n for P(X ≤ n) > threshold
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of geometric distribution formulas. Given the mean, students find p = 1/4, then apply standard formulas for P(X=5) and P(X>5), and solve an inequality for part (iii). All parts are routine calculations requiring only recall of geometric distribution properties with no problem-solving insight needed.
Spec5.02g Geometric probabilities: P(X=r) = p(1-p)^(r-1)5.02h Geometric: mean 1/p and variance (1-p)/p^2

The discrete random variable \(X\) has a geometric distribution with mean 4. Find
  1. P\((X = 5)\), [3]
  2. P\((X > 5)\), [2]
  3. the least integer \(N\) such that P\((X \leqslant N) > 0.9995\). [2]

Question 7:
AnswerMarks
7(i) Find or imply value of p: p = ¼ or 0⋅25 B1
Find P(X = 5): (1 – p) 4 p or q 4 p = 0⋅0791 M1 A1
(ii) Find P(X ≥ 5): 1 – (1 + q + q 2 + q 3 ) p or q 4 or
q 4 p + q 5 = 0⋅316 M1 A1
(iii) Find least N with P(X ≤ N) > 0⋅9995: 1 – q N > 0⋅9995, q N < 0⋅0005
AnswerMarks
N > 26⋅4, Nmin = 27 M1 A13
2
AnswerMarks Guidance
2[7]
Page 5Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version Syllabus
GCE A LEVEL – October/November 20109231 02
Question 7:
7 | (i) Find or imply value of p: p = ¼ or 0⋅25 B1
Find P(X = 5): (1 – p) 4 p or q 4 p = 0⋅0791 M1 A1
(ii) Find P(X ≥ 5): 1 – (1 + q + q 2 + q 3 ) p or q 4 or
q 4 p + q 5 = 0⋅316 M1 A1
(iii) Find least N with P(X ≤ N) > 0⋅9995: 1 – q N > 0⋅9995, q N < 0⋅0005
N > 26⋅4, Nmin = 27 M1 A1 | 3
2
2 | [7]
Page 5 | Mark Scheme: Teachers’ version | Syllabus | Paper
GCE A LEVEL – October/November 2010 | 9231 | 02
The discrete random variable $X$ has a geometric distribution with mean 4.

Find
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item P$(X = 5)$, [3]
\item P$(X > 5)$, [2]
\item the least integer $N$ such that P$(X \leqslant N) > 0.9995$. [2]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2010 Q7 [7]}}