Pre-U Pre-U 9795/2 2012 June — Question 6 12 marks

Exam BoardPre-U
ModulePre-U 9795/2 (Pre-U Further Mathematics Paper 2)
Year2012
SessionJune
Marks12
TopicContinuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables
TypeCalculate and compare mean, median, mode
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward continuous probability distribution question requiring standard techniques: sketching a pdf, finding mean by integration, finding mode by differentiation, and calculating a probability using given variance. All steps are routine A-level procedures with no novel insight required, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

6 The lengths of time, in years, that sales representatives for a certain company keep their company cars may be modelled by the distribution with probability density function \(\mathrm { f } ( x )\), where $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 4 } { 27 } x ^ { 2 } ( 3 - x ) & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 3 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
  1. Draw a sketch of this probability density function.
  2. Calculate the mean and the mode of \(X\).
  3. Comment briefly on the values obtained in part (ii) in relation to the sketch in part (i).
  4. Given that \(\sigma ^ { 2 } = 0.36\), find \(\mathrm { P } ( | X - \mu | < \sigma )\), where \(\mu\) and \(\sigma ^ { 2 }\) denote the mean and the variance of \(X\) respectively.

Question 6(i)
Above \(x\)-axis between \((0, 0)\) to \((3, 0)\) B1
Correct concavity. (Do not condone parabolas.) B1 [2]
Question 6(ii)
\(\mu = \frac{4}{27} \int_0^3 (3x^3 - x^4) dx\) (Limits required.) M1
\(= \frac{4}{27} \left[ \frac{3x^4}{4} - \frac{x^5}{5} \right]_0^3 = 1.8\) A1A1
\(f'(x) = \frac{4}{27}(6x - 3x^2) = 0\) M1A1
\(\Rightarrow x = 0, 2 \quad \therefore \text{Mode} = 2\) A1 [6]
Question 6(iii)
Mean less than mode in (ii) matches negative skew in sketch. B1 [1]
Question 6(iv)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(P(X - \mu < \sigma) = \frac{4}{27} \int_{1.2}^{2.4} (3x^2 - x^3) dx\) (Limits required.) M1
\(= \frac{4}{27} \left[ x^3 - \frac{x^4}{4} \right]_{1.2}^{2.4} = 0.64\) A1A1 [3] [12]
**Question 6(i)**
Above $x$-axis between $(0, 0)$ to $(3, 0)$ **B1**

Correct concavity. (Do not condone parabolas.) **B1** [2]

**Question 6(ii)**
$\mu = \frac{4}{27} \int_0^3 (3x^3 - x^4) dx$ (Limits required.) **M1**

$= \frac{4}{27} \left[ \frac{3x^4}{4} - \frac{x^5}{5} \right]_0^3 = 1.8$ **A1A1**

$f'(x) = \frac{4}{27}(6x - 3x^2) = 0$ **M1A1**

$\Rightarrow x = 0, 2 \quad \therefore \text{Mode} = 2$ **A1** [6]

**Question 6(iii)**
Mean less than mode in **(ii)** matches negative skew in sketch. **B1** [1]

**Question 6(iv)**
$P(|X - \mu| < \sigma) = \frac{4}{27} \int_{1.2}^{2.4} (3x^2 - x^3) dx$ (Limits required.) **M1**

$= \frac{4}{27} \left[ x^3 - \frac{x^4}{4} \right]_{1.2}^{2.4} = 0.64$ **A1A1** [3] **[12]**
6 The lengths of time, in years, that sales representatives for a certain company keep their company cars may be modelled by the distribution with probability density function $\mathrm { f } ( x )$, where

$$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 4 } { 27 } x ^ { 2 } ( 3 - x ) & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 3 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$

(i) Draw a sketch of this probability density function.\\
(ii) Calculate the mean and the mode of $X$.\\
(iii) Comment briefly on the values obtained in part (ii) in relation to the sketch in part (i).\\
(iv) Given that $\sigma ^ { 2 } = 0.36$, find $\mathrm { P } ( | X - \mu | < \sigma )$, where $\mu$ and $\sigma ^ { 2 }$ denote the mean and the variance of $X$ respectively.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Pre-U Pre-U 9795/2 2012 Q6 [12]}}