CAIE S2 2021 November — Question 5

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2021
SessionNovember
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TopicPoisson Distribution

5
  1. The proportion of people having a particular medical condition is 1 in 100000 . A random sample of 2500 people is obtained. The number of people in the sample having the condition is denoted by \(X\).
    1. State, with a justification, a suitable approximating distribution for \(X\), giving the values of any parameters.
    2. Use the approximating distribution to calculate \(\mathrm { P } ( X > 0 )\).
  2. The percentage of people having a different medical condition is thought to be \(30 \%\). A researcher suspects that the true percentage is less than \(30 \%\). In a medical trial a random sample of 28 people was selected and 4 people were found to have this condition. Use a binomial distribution to test the researcher's suspicion at the \(2 \%\) significance level.

5 (a) The proportion of people having a particular medical condition is 1 in 100000 . A random sample of 2500 people is obtained. The number of people in the sample having the condition is denoted by $X$.\\
(i) State, with a justification, a suitable approximating distribution for $X$, giving the values of any parameters.\\

(ii) Use the approximating distribution to calculate $\mathrm { P } ( X > 0 )$.\\

(b) The percentage of people having a different medical condition is thought to be $30 \%$. A researcher suspects that the true percentage is less than $30 \%$. In a medical trial a random sample of 28 people was selected and 4 people were found to have this condition.

Use a binomial distribution to test the researcher's suspicion at the $2 \%$ significance level.\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2021 Q5}}