SPS SPS FM Statistics 2024 April — Question 7

Exam BoardSPS
ModuleSPS FM Statistics (SPS FM Statistics)
Year2024
SessionApril
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeDirect binomial probability calculation

7. An online shopping company takes orders through its website. On average \(80 \%\) of orders from the website are delivered within 24 hours. The quality controller selects 10 orders at random to check when they are delivered.
  1. Find the probability that
    (A) exactly 8 of these orders are delivered within 24 hours,
    (B) at least 8 of these orders are delivered within 24 hours. The company changes its delivery method. The quality controller suspects that the changes will mean that fewer than \(80 \%\) of orders will be delivered within 24 hours. A random sample of 18 orders is checked and it is found that 12 of them arrive within 24 hours.
  2. Write down suitable hypotheses and carry out a test at the \(5 \%\) significance level to determine whether there is any evidence to support the quality controller's suspicion.
  3. A statistician argues that it is possible that the new method could result in either better or worse delivery times. Therefore it would be better to carry out a 2 -tail test at the \(5 \%\) significance level. State the alternative hypothesis for this test. Assuming that the sample size is still 18 , find the critical region for this test, showing all of your calculations.
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