SPS SPS FM Statistics 2024 January — Question 6

Exam BoardSPS
ModuleSPS FM Statistics (SPS FM Statistics)
Year2024
SessionJanuary
TopicHypothesis test of binomial distributions
TypeCalculate Type I error probability

6. A firm claims that no more than \(2 \%\) of their packets of sugar are underweight. A market researcher believes that the actual proportion is greater than \(2 \%\). In order to test the firm's claim, the researcher weighs a random sample of 600 packets and carries out a hypothesis test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, using the null hypothesis \(p = 0.02\).
  1. Given that the researcher's null hypothesis is correct, determine the probability that the researcher will conclude that the firm's claim is incorrect.
  2. The researcher finds that 18 out of the 600 packets are underweight. A colleague says
    " 18 out of 600 is \(3 \%\), so there is evidence that the actual proportion of underweight bags is greater than \(2 \%\)." Criticise this statement.