OCR MEI C2 2010 January — Question 12

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleC2 (Core Mathematics 2)
Year2010
SessionJanuary
TopicExponential Functions

12 Answer part (ii) of this question on the insert provided. Since 1945 the populations of many countries have been growing. The table shows the estimated population of 15- to 59-year-olds in Africa during the period 1955 to 2005.
Year195519651975198519952005
Population (millions)131161209277372492
Source: United Nations Such estimates are used to model future population growth and world needs of resources. One model is \(P = a 10 ^ { b t }\), where the population is \(P\) millions, \(t\) is the number of years after 1945 and \(a\) and \(b\) are constants.
  1. Show that, using this model, the graph of \(\log _ { 10 } P\) against \(t\) is a straight line of gradient \(b\). State the intercept of this line on the vertical axis.
  2. On the insert, complete the table, giving values correct to 2 decimal places, and plot the graph of \(\log _ { 10 } P\) against \(t\). Draw, by eye, a line of best fit on your graph.
  3. Use your graph to find the equation for \(P\) in terms of \(t\).
  4. Use your results to estimate the population of 15- to 59-year-olds in Africa in 2050. Comment, with a reason, on the reliability of this estimate.