Edexcel FS2 2024 June — Question 4 9 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleFS2 (Further Statistics 2)
Year2024
SessionJune
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Uniform Random Variables
TypeMaximum or minimum of uniforms
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward Further Statistics 2 question testing basic uniform distribution properties. Part (a) is direct probability calculation, part (b) requires finding w from E(H)=10 then multiplying independent probabilities (routine), and part (c) needs finding area as a function of k then taking expectation. All steps are standard applications of formulas with no novel insight required, though the geometric interpretation in (c) adds minor complexity.
Spec5.02a Discrete probability distributions: general5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

  1. The random variable \(G\) has a continuous uniform distribution over the interval \([ - 3,15 ]\)
    1. Calculate \(\mathrm { P } ( G > 12 )\)
    The random variable \(H\) has a continuous uniform distribution over the interval [2, w] The random variables \(G\) and \(H\) are independent and \(\mathrm { E } ( H ) = 10\)
  2. Show that the probability that \(G\) and \(H\) are both greater than 12 is \(\frac { 1 } { 16 }\) The random variable \(A\) is the area on a coordinate grid bounded by $$\begin{aligned} & y = - 3 \\ & y = - 4 | x | + k \end{aligned}$$ where \(k\) is a value from the continuous uniform distribution over the interval [5,10]
  3. Calculate the expected value of \(A\)

Question 4:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(P(G>12) = \frac{3}{18} \left[= \frac{1}{6}\right]\)B1 Allow 0.167 or better
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(w = 18\)B1 18
Probability both greater than \(12 = \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{18-12}{18-2}\)M1 Correct calculation shown using their value for \(w\); may be implied by e.g. \(\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{3}{8}\)
\(= \frac{1}{16}\)A1* Allow 0.0625 oe
Part (c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
Correct triangle identified (isosceles, symmetrical about \(y\)-axis, highest point on positive \(y\)-axis, base vertices below \(x\)-axis)M1 Implied by all three coordinates or calculation to find area / awrt 28.1
\(x\) coordinate of base of triangle \(= \pm\left(\frac{k+3}{4}\right)\)M1 For finding either \(x\) coordinate; do not accept numerical value for \(k\) but condone \(E(K)\)
Area \(= \frac{1}{2} \times 2 \times \frac{k+3}{4} \times (k+3)\)M1 Finding area of triangle in terms of \(k\); condone \(E(K)\)
\(E(A) = \int_5^{10} \frac{1}{5} \times \frac{1}{4}(k+3)^2\, dk\)M1 Using model correctly: \(\int_5^{10} f(k) \times \text{their area}\, dk\); or using \(E(K)=7.5\) and \(E(K^2)=\text{Var}(K)+(E(K))^2\) with area \(= \frac{1}{4}(k^2+6k+9)\)
\(= \frac{337}{12}\)A1cso awrt 28.1
## Question 4:

### Part (a):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $P(G>12) = \frac{3}{18} \left[= \frac{1}{6}\right]$ | B1 | Allow 0.167 or better |

### Part (b):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $w = 18$ | B1 | 18 |
| Probability both greater than $12 = \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{18-12}{18-2}$ | M1 | Correct calculation shown using their value for $w$; may be implied by e.g. $\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{3}{8}$ |
| $= \frac{1}{16}$ | A1* | Allow 0.0625 oe |

### Part (c):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Correct triangle identified (isosceles, symmetrical about $y$-axis, highest point on positive $y$-axis, base vertices below $x$-axis) | M1 | Implied by all three coordinates or calculation to find area / awrt 28.1 |
| $x$ coordinate of base of triangle $= \pm\left(\frac{k+3}{4}\right)$ | M1 | For finding either $x$ coordinate; do not accept numerical value for $k$ but condone $E(K)$ |
| Area $= \frac{1}{2} \times 2 \times \frac{k+3}{4} \times (k+3)$ | M1 | Finding area of triangle in terms of $k$; condone $E(K)$ |
| $E(A) = \int_5^{10} \frac{1}{5} \times \frac{1}{4}(k+3)^2\, dk$ | M1 | Using model correctly: $\int_5^{10} f(k) \times \text{their area}\, dk$; or using $E(K)=7.5$ and $E(K^2)=\text{Var}(K)+(E(K))^2$ with area $= \frac{1}{4}(k^2+6k+9)$ |
| $= \frac{337}{12}$ | A1cso | awrt 28.1 |

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\begin{enumerate}
  \item The random variable $G$ has a continuous uniform distribution over the interval $[ - 3,15 ]$\\
(a) Calculate $\mathrm { P } ( G > 12 )$
\end{enumerate}

The random variable $H$ has a continuous uniform distribution over the interval [2, w] The random variables $G$ and $H$ are independent and $\mathrm { E } ( H ) = 10$\\
(b) Show that the probability that $G$ and $H$ are both greater than 12 is $\frac { 1 } { 16 }$

The random variable $A$ is the area on a coordinate grid bounded by

$$\begin{aligned}
& y = - 3 \\
& y = - 4 | x | + k
\end{aligned}$$

where $k$ is a value from the continuous uniform distribution over the interval [5,10]\\
(c) Calculate the expected value of $A$

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel FS2 2024 Q4 [9]}}