OCR MEI Further Statistics A AS 2021 November — Question 7

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleFurther Statistics A AS (Further Statistics A AS)
Year2021
SessionNovember
TopicPoisson Distribution
TypeGoodness-of-fit test for Poisson

7 A biologist is investigating migrating butterflies. Fig. 7.1 shows the numbers of migrating butterflies passing her location in 100 randomly chosen one-minute periods. \begin{table}[h]
Number of butterflies01234567\(\geqslant 8\)
Frequency6918261316930
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 7.1}
\end{table}
    1. Use the data to show that a suitable estimate for the mean number of butterflies passing her location per minute is 3.3.
    2. Explain how the value of the variance estimate calculated from the sample supports the suggestion that a Poisson distribution may be a suitable model for these data. The biologist decides to carry out a test to investigate whether a Poisson distribution may be a suitable model for these data.
  1. In this question you must show detailed reasoning. Complete the copy of Fig. 7.2 of expected frequencies and contributions for a chi-squared test in the Printed Answer Booklet. \begin{table}[h]
    Number of butterfliesFrequencyProbabilityExpected frequencyChi-squared contribution
    060.03693.68831.4489
    190.121712.17140.8264
    2180.2160
    3260.6916
    4130.182318.22521.4981
    5160.120312.0286
    690.06626.61580.8593
    \(\geqslant 7\)30.05105.09660.8625
    \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 7.2}
    \end{table}
  2. Complete the chi-squared test at the \(5 \%\) significance level.