Edexcel S4 2013 June — Question 3 12 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Year2013
SessionJune
Marks12
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicT-tests (unknown variance)
TypeTwo-sample t-test equal variance
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This S4 question requires two hypothesis tests: an F-test for variance equality followed by a two-sample t-test. While the calculations are standard for Further Maths Statistics, students must correctly identify which test to use, interpret the F-test result to determine pooled vs unpooled variance for part (b), and explain the connection between tests. The multi-stage reasoning and need to link parts (a) and (c) to inform part (b) elevates this above routine application.
Spec5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

3. An archaeologist is studying the compression strength of bricks at some ancient European sites. He took random samples from two sites \(A\) and \(B\) and recorded the compression strength of these bricks in appropriate units. The results are summarised below.
SiteSample size \(( n )\)Sample mean \(( \bar { x } )\)Standard deviation \(( s )\)
\(A\)78.434.24
\(B\)1314.314.37
It can be assumed that the compression strength of bricks is normally distributed.
  1. Test, at the \(2 \%\) level of significance, whether or not there is evidence of a difference in the variances of compression strength of the bricks between these two sites. State your hypotheses clearly.
    (5) Site \(A\) is older than site \(B\) and the archaeologist claims that the mean compression strength of the bricks was greater at the younger site.
  2. Stating your hypotheses clearly and using a \(1 \%\) level of significance, test the archaeologist's claim.
  3. Explain briefly the importance of the test in part (a) to the test in part (b).

Question 3:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(H_0: \sigma_A^2 = \sigma_B^2\), \(H_1: \sigma_A^2 \neq \sigma_B^2\)B1 Both hypotheses correct
\(F = \frac{s_B^2}{s_A^2} = \frac{4.37^2}{4.24^2} = \frac{19.0969}{17.9776} = 1.0623\)M1 A1 Correct ratio (larger over smaller)
Critical value: \(F_{12,6}\) at 1% (two-tailed): \(F = 7.72\)B1 Correct critical value
\(1.0623 < 7.72\), do not reject \(H_0\). No evidence of difference in variances.A1 Correct conclusion
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(H_0: \mu_B = \mu_A\), \(H_1: \mu_B > \mu_A\)B1 Both hypotheses (one-tailed)
Pooled variance: \(s_p^2 = \frac{6 \times 4.24^2 + 12 \times 4.37^2}{18} = \frac{107.866 + 228.817}{18} = \frac{336.683}{18} = 18.705\)M1 A1 Correct pooled estimate
\(t = \frac{14.31 - 8.43}{\sqrt{18.705\left(\frac{1}{13}+\frac{1}{7}\right)}} = \frac{5.88}{\sqrt{18.705 \times 0.2198}} = \frac{5.88}{\sqrt{4.111}} = \frac{5.88}{2.0276}\)M1 Correct test statistic formula
\(t = 2.900\)A1 Correct value
Critical value: \(t_{18}\) at 1% one-tail \(= 2.552\)B1 Correct critical value
\(2.900 > 2.552\), reject \(H_0\). Evidence that mean compression strength is greater at site \(B\) (younger site).A1 Correct conclusion in context
Part (c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
The test in (a) justifies the use of a pooled \(t\)-test in (b), since equal variances are assumed for the pooled test.B1 Accept equivalent statements about justifying equal variance assumption
# Question 3:

## Part (a):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $H_0: \sigma_A^2 = \sigma_B^2$, $H_1: \sigma_A^2 \neq \sigma_B^2$ | B1 | Both hypotheses correct |
| $F = \frac{s_B^2}{s_A^2} = \frac{4.37^2}{4.24^2} = \frac{19.0969}{17.9776} = 1.0623$ | M1 A1 | Correct ratio (larger over smaller) |
| Critical value: $F_{12,6}$ at 1% (two-tailed): $F = 7.72$ | B1 | Correct critical value |
| $1.0623 < 7.72$, do not reject $H_0$. No evidence of difference in variances. | A1 | Correct conclusion |

## Part (b):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $H_0: \mu_B = \mu_A$, $H_1: \mu_B > \mu_A$ | B1 | Both hypotheses (one-tailed) |
| Pooled variance: $s_p^2 = \frac{6 \times 4.24^2 + 12 \times 4.37^2}{18} = \frac{107.866 + 228.817}{18} = \frac{336.683}{18} = 18.705$ | M1 A1 | Correct pooled estimate |
| $t = \frac{14.31 - 8.43}{\sqrt{18.705\left(\frac{1}{13}+\frac{1}{7}\right)}} = \frac{5.88}{\sqrt{18.705 \times 0.2198}} = \frac{5.88}{\sqrt{4.111}} = \frac{5.88}{2.0276}$ | M1 | Correct test statistic formula |
| $t = 2.900$ | A1 | Correct value |
| Critical value: $t_{18}$ at 1% one-tail $= 2.552$ | B1 | Correct critical value |
| $2.900 > 2.552$, reject $H_0$. Evidence that mean compression strength is greater at site $B$ (younger site). | A1 | Correct conclusion in context |

## Part (c):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| The test in (a) justifies the use of a pooled $t$-test in (b), since equal variances are assumed for the pooled test. | B1 | Accept equivalent statements about justifying equal variance assumption |

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3. An archaeologist is studying the compression strength of bricks at some ancient European sites. He took random samples from two sites $A$ and $B$ and recorded the compression strength of these bricks in appropriate units. The results are summarised below.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Site & Sample size $( n )$ & Sample mean $( \bar { x } )$ & Standard deviation $( s )$ \\
\hline
$A$ & 7 & 8.43 & 4.24 \\
\hline
$B$ & 13 & 14.31 & 4.37 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

It can be assumed that the compression strength of bricks is normally distributed.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Test, at the $2 \%$ level of significance, whether or not there is evidence of a difference in the variances of compression strength of the bricks between these two sites. State your hypotheses clearly.\\
(5)

Site $A$ is older than site $B$ and the archaeologist claims that the mean compression strength of the bricks was greater at the younger site.
\item Stating your hypotheses clearly and using a $1 \%$ level of significance, test the archaeologist's claim.
\item Explain briefly the importance of the test in part (a) to the test in part (b).
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S4 2013 Q3 [12]}}