Edexcel S2 — Question 3 7 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Marks7
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicHypothesis test of binomial distributions
TypeTwo-tailed test critical region
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a standard S2 hypothesis testing question requiring binomial table lookups and understanding of critical regions. Part (a) involves splitting 5% between two tails, part (b) is a one-tailed test. Both require careful cumulative probability calculations but follow routine procedures taught in S2 with no novel problem-solving required. Slightly easier than average due to being a textbook application.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.05a Hypothesis testing language: null, alternative, p-value, significance2.05b Hypothesis test for binomial proportion2.05c Significance levels: one-tail and two-tail

3. The random variable \(X\) is modelled by a binomial distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( n , p )\), with \(n = 20\) and \(p\) unknown. It is suspected that \(p = 0 \cdot 4\).
  1. Find the critical region for the test of \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.4\) against \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p \neq 0.4\), at the \(5 \%\) significance level.
  2. Find the critical region if, instead, the alternative hypothesis is \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p < 0.4\).

AnswerMarks
(a) From tables, extreme 2.5% tails are given by \(X \leq 3\) and \(X \geq 13\), so this is the critical regionM1 A1 A1 A1
(b) The bottom 5% tail is still given by \(X \leq 3\); region is \(\{0, 1, 2, 3\}\)M1 M1 A1
Total: 7 marks
(a) From tables, extreme 2.5% tails are given by $X \leq 3$ and $X \geq 13$, so this is the critical region | M1 A1 A1 A1 |

(b) The bottom 5% tail is still given by $X \leq 3$; region is $\{0, 1, 2, 3\}$ | M1 M1 A1 |

**Total: 7 marks**

---
3. The random variable $X$ is modelled by a binomial distribution $\mathrm { B } ( n , p )$, with $n = 20$ and $p$ unknown. It is suspected that $p = 0 \cdot 4$.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Find the critical region for the test of $\mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.4$ against $\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p \neq 0.4$, at the $5 \%$ significance level.
\item Find the critical region if, instead, the alternative hypothesis is $\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p < 0.4$.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2  Q3 [7]}}