Edexcel S1 — Question 4 10 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Marks10
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicNormal Distribution
TypeSingle tail probability P(X < a) or P(X > a)
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward S1 normal distribution question requiring standardization and z-table lookups. Parts (a) and (b) are routine single-tail probability calculations. Part (c) involves working backwards from a probability to find a mean, which is slightly less routine but still a standard S1 technique with clear structure.
Spec2.04e Normal distribution: as model N(mu, sigma^2)2.04f Find normal probabilities: Z transformation

4. A company produces jars of English Honey. The weight of the glass jars used is normally distributed with a mean of 122.3 g and a standard deviation of 2.6 g . Calculate the probability that a randomly chosen jar will weigh
  1. less than 127 g ,
  2. less than 121.5 g . The weight of honey put into each jar by a machine is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 1.6 g . The machine operator can adjust the mean weight of the honey put into each jar without changing the standard deviation.
  3. Find, correct to 4 significant figures, the minimum that the mean weight can be set to such that at most 1 in 20 of the jars will contain less than 454 g .
    (4 marks)

AnswerMarks Guidance
\(P(Z < \frac{127 - 122.3}{2.6}) = P(Z < 1.81) = 0.9649\)M2 A1
\(P(Z < \frac{121.5 - 122.3}{2.6}) = P(Z < -0.31) = 0.3783\)M2 A1
\(P(Z < \frac{454 - \mu}{1.6}) = 0.05\)M1
\(\frac{454 - \mu}{1.6} = -1.6449; \mu = 456.6\) (4sf)M1 A2 (10)
$P(Z < \frac{127 - 122.3}{2.6}) = P(Z < 1.81) = 0.9649$ | M2 A1 |

$P(Z < \frac{121.5 - 122.3}{2.6}) = P(Z < -0.31) = 0.3783$ | M2 A1 |

$P(Z < \frac{454 - \mu}{1.6}) = 0.05$ | M1 |

$\frac{454 - \mu}{1.6} = -1.6449; \mu = 456.6$ (4sf) | M1 A2 | (10)
4. A company produces jars of English Honey. The weight of the glass jars used is normally distributed with a mean of 122.3 g and a standard deviation of 2.6 g .

Calculate the probability that a randomly chosen jar will weigh
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item less than 127 g ,
\item less than 121.5 g .

The weight of honey put into each jar by a machine is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 1.6 g . The machine operator can adjust the mean weight of the honey put into each jar without changing the standard deviation.
\item Find, correct to 4 significant figures, the minimum that the mean weight can be set to such that at most 1 in 20 of the jars will contain less than 454 g .\\
(4 marks)
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S1  Q4 [10]}}