Edexcel C3 — Question 6 13 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleC3 (Core Mathematics 3)
Marks13
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicExponential Equations & Modelling
TypeFinding x from given y value
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a straightforward multi-part exponential modelling question requiring routine substitution (part a), logarithmic rearrangement (part b), algebraic manipulation to show a given result (part c), and simple iteration (part d). All techniques are standard C3 material with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec1.06g Equations with exponentials: solve a^x = b1.06i Exponential growth/decay: in modelling context1.09c Simple iterative methods: x_{n+1} = g(x_n), cobweb and staircase diagrams

  1. The population in thousands, \(P\), of a town at time \(t\) years after \(1 ^ { \text {st } }\) January 1980 is modelled by the formula
$$P = 30 + 50 \mathrm { e } ^ { 0.002 t }$$ Use this model to estimate
  1. the population of the town on \(1 { } ^ { \text {st } }\) January 2010,
  2. the year in which the population first exceeds 84000 . The population in thousands, \(Q\), of another town is modelled by the formula $$Q = 26 + 50 \mathrm { e } ^ { 0.003 t }$$
  3. Show that the value of \(t\) when \(P = Q\) is a solution of the equation $$t = 1000 \ln \left( 1 + 0.08 \mathrm { e } ^ { - 0.002 t } \right) .$$
  4. Use the iteration formula $$t _ { n + 1 } = 1000 \ln \left( 1 + 0.08 \mathrm { e } ^ { - 0.002 t _ { n } } \right)$$ with \(t _ { 0 } = 50\) to find \(t _ { 1 } , t _ { 2 }\) and \(t _ { 3 }\) and hence, the year in which the populations of these two towns will be equal according to these models.

Part (a)
AnswerMarks
\(P = 30 + 50e^{0.002 \times 30} = 83.1\)M1
∴ population = 83 100 (3sf)A1
Part (b)
AnswerMarks
\(30 + 50e^{0.002t} > 84\)M1
\(e^{0.002t} > \frac{54}{50}\)A1
\(t > \frac{1}{0.002}\ln\frac{54}{50}, t > 38.5\) ∴ 2018M1 A1
Part (c)
AnswerMarks
\(30 + 50e^{0.003t} = 26 + 50e^{0.002t}, \frac{50e^{0.003t}}{50e^{0.002t}} - 50e^{0.002t} = 4\)M1
\(e^{0.001t} - 1 = 0.08e^{-0.002}\)
\(0.001t = \ln(1 + 0.08e^{-0.002})\)M1
\(t = 1000\ln(1 + 0.08e^{-0.002})\)A1
Part (d)
AnswerMarks
\(t_1 = 69.887, t_2 = 67.251, t_3 = 67.595\)M1 A2
∴ 2047A1
(13)
**Part (a)**
$P = 30 + 50e^{0.002 \times 30} = 83.1$ | M1 |
∴ population = 83 100 (3sf) | A1 |

**Part (b)**
$30 + 50e^{0.002t} > 84$ | M1 |
$e^{0.002t} > \frac{54}{50}$ | A1 |
$t > \frac{1}{0.002}\ln\frac{54}{50}, t > 38.5$ ∴ 2018 | M1 A1 |

**Part (c)**
$30 + 50e^{0.003t} = 26 + 50e^{0.002t}, \frac{50e^{0.003t}}{50e^{0.002t}} - 50e^{0.002t} = 4$ | M1 |
$e^{0.001t} - 1 = 0.08e^{-0.002}$ |
$0.001t = \ln(1 + 0.08e^{-0.002})$ | M1 |
$t = 1000\ln(1 + 0.08e^{-0.002})$ | A1 |

**Part (d)**
$t_1 = 69.887, t_2 = 67.251, t_3 = 67.595$ | M1 A2 |
∴ 2047 | A1 |
| (13) |

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\begin{enumerate}
  \item The population in thousands, $P$, of a town at time $t$ years after $1 ^ { \text {st } }$ January 1980 is modelled by the formula
\end{enumerate}

$$P = 30 + 50 \mathrm { e } ^ { 0.002 t }$$

Use this model to estimate\\
(a) the population of the town on $1 { } ^ { \text {st } }$ January 2010,\\
(b) the year in which the population first exceeds 84000 .

The population in thousands, $Q$, of another town is modelled by the formula

$$Q = 26 + 50 \mathrm { e } ^ { 0.003 t }$$

(c) Show that the value of $t$ when $P = Q$ is a solution of the equation

$$t = 1000 \ln \left( 1 + 0.08 \mathrm { e } ^ { - 0.002 t } \right) .$$

(d) Use the iteration formula

$$t _ { n + 1 } = 1000 \ln \left( 1 + 0.08 \mathrm { e } ^ { - 0.002 t _ { n } } \right)$$

with $t _ { 0 } = 50$ to find $t _ { 1 } , t _ { 2 }$ and $t _ { 3 }$ and hence, the year in which the populations of these two towns will be equal according to these models.\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel C3  Q6 [13]}}