| Exam Board | Edexcel |
|---|---|
| Module | S3 (Statistics 3) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Session | June |
| Marks | 9 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Hypothesis test of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficien |
| Type | Hypothesis test for positive correlation |
| Difficulty | Standard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient with standard hypothesis testing. Students must rank one variable, calculate the coefficient using the formula, and perform a one-tailed test using critical values from tables. While it requires multiple steps, each is routine and follows a standard procedure taught in S3, making it slightly easier than average. |
| Spec | 2.01c Sampling techniques: simple random, opportunity, etc5.08e Spearman rank correlation5.08f Hypothesis test: Spearman rank |
| Book | \(A\) | \(B\) | \(C\) | \(D\) | \(E\) | \(F\) | \(G\) | \(H\) | \(I\) | \(J\) |
| Borrowing rank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Number of pages | 50 | 212 | 115 | 80 | 301 | 90 | 356 | 283 | 152 | 317 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance Notes |
| Label all the books from \(1 - 160\) (o.e.) | B1 | For labelling/numbering/listing/using sampling frame of all 160 books |
| Use random numbers to select the 10 books | B1 | For use of random numbers/selection and mentioning the number 10 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance Notes |
| Attempt to rank number of pages (at least 4 correct) | M1 | Allow reverse ranks |
| Attempt at \(d^2\) row (may be implied by \(\sum d^2 = 66\) or \(264\) for reverse ranks) | M1 | — |
| \(r_s = 1 - \dfrac{6 \times 66}{10(100-1)}, [= 1 - 0.4] = 0.6\) | M1, A1 | For use of correct formula, follow through their \(\sum d^2\) if clearly stated; A1 for \(0.6\) (or \(-0.6\) for reverse ranks) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance Notes |
| \(H_0: \rho = 0 \quad H_1: \rho > 0\) | B1 | Both hypotheses in terms of \(\rho\), one tail \(H_1\); hypotheses in words only (e.g. "no correlation") scores B0 |
| Critical value is \(0.5636\) | B1 | If two-tailed \(H_1\), allow cv \(= 0.6485\) |
| \(0.6 >\) cv so significant result and sufficient evidence to reject \(H_0\); there is support for the librarian's belief, or there is evidence of a correlation between the number of pages in a book and the number of times it is borrowed | B1ft | Must mention "librarian" (or "he") or "number of pages" and "borrowing"; follow through their \(r_s\) and cv (provided \( |
# Question 1:
## Part (a)
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Label all the books from $1 - 160$ (o.e.) | B1 | For labelling/numbering/listing/using sampling frame of all 160 books |
| Use random numbers to select the 10 books | B1 | For use of random numbers/selection and mentioning the number 10 |
## Part (b)
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Attempt to rank number of pages (at least 4 correct) | M1 | Allow reverse ranks |
| Attempt at $d^2$ row (may be implied by $\sum d^2 = 66$ or $264$ for reverse ranks) | M1 | — |
| $r_s = 1 - \dfrac{6 \times 66}{10(100-1)}, [= 1 - 0.4] = 0.6$ | M1, A1 | For use of correct formula, follow through their $\sum d^2$ if clearly stated; A1 for $0.6$ (or $-0.6$ for reverse ranks) |
## Part (c)
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| $H_0: \rho = 0 \quad H_1: \rho > 0$ | B1 | Both hypotheses in terms of $\rho$, one tail $H_1$; hypotheses in words only (e.g. "no correlation") scores B0 |
| Critical value is $0.5636$ | B1 | If two-tailed $H_1$, allow cv $= 0.6485$ |
| $0.6 >$ cv so significant result and sufficient evidence to reject $H_0$; there is support for the librarian's belief, or there is evidence of a correlation between the number of pages in a book and the number of times it is borrowed | B1ft | Must mention "librarian" (or "he") or "number of pages" and "borrowing"; follow through their $r_s$ and cv (provided $|\text{cv}| < 1$) |
\begin{enumerate}
\item A mobile library has 160 books for children on its records. The librarian believes that books with fewer pages are borrowed more often. He takes a random sample of 10 books for children.\\
(a) Explain how the librarian should select this random sample.\\
(2)
\end{enumerate}
The librarian ranked the 10 books according to how often they had been borrowed, with 1 for the book borrowed the most and 10 for the book borrowed the least. He also recorded the number of pages in each book. The results are in the table below.
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Book & $A$ & $B$ & $C$ & $D$ & $E$ & $F$ & $G$ & $H$ & $I$ & $J$ \\
\hline
Borrowing rank & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 & 7 & 8 & 9 & 10 \\
\hline
Number of pages & 50 & 212 & 115 & 80 & 301 & 90 & 356 & 283 & 152 & 317 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
(b) Calculate Spearman's rank correlation coefficient for these data.\\
(c) Test the librarian's belief using a $5 \%$ level of significance. State your hypotheses clearly.\\
\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2015 Q1 [9]}}