| Exam Board | Edexcel |
|---|---|
| Module | S3 (Statistics 3) |
| Year | 2013 |
| Session | June |
| Marks | 13 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Hypothesis test of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficien |
| Type | Hypothesis test for positive correlation |
| Difficulty | Standard +0.3 This is a standard S3 hypothesis testing question requiring calculation of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (routine ranking and formula application), followed by straightforward hypothesis tests using critical value tables. The multi-part structure and comparison of two correlation methods adds length but not conceptual difficulty—all steps follow textbook procedures with no novel problem-solving required. |
| Spec | 5.08a Pearson correlation: calculate pmcc5.08d Hypothesis test: Pearson correlation5.08e Spearman rank correlation5.08f Hypothesis test: Spearman rank |
| Town or village | Population | Number of council employees |
| A | 211 | 10 |
| B | 356 | 2 |
| C | 1047 | 12 |
| D | 2463 | 21 |
| E | 4892 | 16 |
| F | 6479 | 25 |
| G | 6571 | 67 |
| H | 6573 | 45 |
| I | 9845 | 48 |
| \(J\) | 14784 | 34 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Town | A | B |
| Pop | 1 | 2 |
| Empl | 2 | 1 |
| \(\ | d\ | \) |
| \(d^2\) | 1 | 1 |
| M1 | ||
| \(\sum d^2 = 22\) | M1A1 | |
| \(r_s = 1 - \frac{6 \times 22}{10 \times 99} = \frac{143}{165} = 0.866\) | dM1 | |
| awrt 0.867 | A1 | (5) |
| (b) \(H_0: \rho = 0\); \(H_1: \rho > 0\) | B1 B1 | |
| CV = 0.6485 | B1 | |
| in critical region / significant/ reject \(H_0\) | M1 | |
| evidence of positive correlation between population and no. of employees | A1 | (4) |
| (c) CV = 0.6319 | B1 | |
| [not in critical region / not significant/ do not reject \(H_0\)] | B1 | |
| No evidence of positive correlation | (2) | |
| (d) No evidence to suggest that as pop' increased the no. of employees increased linearly. Villages ranked highly for pop' were also ranked highly for the no. of employees. | B1 B1 | (2) |
| ALT Alternate for part (d) if different conclusions in part (b) and part (c): Data probably not (bivariate) normal therefore Spearman's coefficient is more suitable than the product moment correlation coefficient. | [Total 13] |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| M1 for a correct statement relating their \(r_s\) (\( | r_s | < 1\)) with their cv but cv must be such that \( |
| A1 for a correct contextualised comment that is rejecting \(H_0\). Must mention "population" and "no. of employees" and "positive correlation". Follow through their \(r_s\) and their cv (provided it is \( | cv | < 1\)). Use of "association" is A0 |
| Town | A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J |
|------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pop | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Empl | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| $\|d\|$ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| $d^2$ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| M1 |
$\sum d^2 = 22$ | M1A1 |
$r_s = 1 - \frac{6 \times 22}{10 \times 99} = \frac{143}{165} = 0.866$ | dM1 |
awrt **0.867** | A1 | (5)
**(b)** $H_0: \rho = 0$; $H_1: \rho > 0$ | B1 B1 |
CV = 0.6485 | B1 |
in critical region / significant/ reject $H_0$ | M1 |
evidence of positive correlation between population and no. of employees | A1 | (4)
**(c)** CV = 0.6319 | B1 |
[not in critical region / not significant/ do not reject $H_0$] | B1 |
No evidence of positive correlation | | (2)
**(d)** No evidence to suggest that as pop' increased the no. of employees increased linearly. Villages ranked highly for pop' were also ranked highly for the no. of employees. | B1 B1 | (2)
**ALT** Alternate for part (d) if different conclusions in part (b) and part (c): Data probably not (bivariate) normal therefore Spearman's coefficient is more suitable than the product moment correlation coefficient. | | **[Total 13]**
**Notes:**
**(a)** 1st M1 for an attempt to rank no of employees against the populations
2nd M1 for attempting $\sum d^2$ (must be using ranks) ft their ranks
1st A1 for 22
3rd dM1 dep on 1st M1 for use of the correct formula with their $\sum d^2$. If ans. is not correct an expr' is required.
**(b)** 1st B1 for both hypotheses in terms of $\rho$, $H_1$ must be one tail and compatible with their ranking
M1 for a correct statement relating their $r_s$ ($|r_s| < 1$) with their cv but cv must be such that $|cv| < 1$. Use of "association" is A0
A1 for a correct contextualised comment that is rejecting $H_0$. Must mention "population" and "no. of employees" and "positive correlation". Follow through their $r_s$ and their cv (provided it is $|cv| < 1$). Use of "association" is A0
**(c)** 1st B1 for 0.6319 2nd B1 does not require context just no positive correlation mentioned
**(d)** 1st B1 for a comment relating to pmcc
(i) no linear relationship or (ii) pmcc requires (joint) normal distribution
2nd B1 for a second comment relating to Spearman's
(i) there is a (non-linear) relationship between ranks.. or (ii) data not (joint) normal so Spearman's is better
---
3. The table below shows the population and the number of council employees for different towns and villages.
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|}
\hline
Town or village & Population & Number of council employees \\
\hline
A & 211 & 10 \\
\hline
B & 356 & 2 \\
\hline
C & 1047 & 12 \\
\hline
D & 2463 & 21 \\
\hline
E & 4892 & 16 \\
\hline
F & 6479 & 25 \\
\hline
G & 6571 & 67 \\
\hline
H & 6573 & 45 \\
\hline
I & 9845 & 48 \\
\hline
$J$ & 14784 & 34 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Find, to 3 decimal places, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between the population and the number of council employees.
\item Use your value of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient to test for evidence of a positive correlation between the population and the number of council employees. Use a $2.5 \%$ significance level. State your hypotheses clearly.
It is suggested that a product moment correlation coefficient would be a more suitable calculation in this case. The product moment correlation coefficient for these data is 0.627 to 3 decimal places.
\item Use the value of the product moment correlation coefficient to test for evidence of a positive correlation between the population and the number of council employees. Use a $2.5 \%$ significance level.
\item Interpret and comment on your results from part(b) and part(c).
\end{enumerate}
\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2013 Q3 [13]}}