Edexcel S3 2016 June — Question 6 15 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2016
SessionJune
Marks15
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Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear combinations of normal random variables
TypeDistribution of linear combination
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This S3 question requires understanding of linear combinations of normal variables and conditional probability. Part (a) involves working backwards from a probability to find a parameter, requiring inverse normal calculations and variance rules. Part (b) combines multiple independent normals and applies conditional probability with standardization. While the techniques are standard for S3, the multi-step nature and need to correctly handle variance scaling (not standard deviation) makes this moderately challenging.
Spec5.04a Linear combinations: E(aX+bY), Var(aX+bY)5.04b Linear combinations: of normal distributions

6. The random variable \(W\) is defined as $$W = 3 X - 4 Y$$ where \(X \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 21,2 ^ { 2 } \right)\) and \(Y \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 8.5 , \sigma ^ { 2 } \right)\) and \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent.
Given that \(\mathrm { P } ( W < 44 ) = 0.9\)
  1. find the value of \(\sigma\), giving your answer to 2 decimal places. The random variables \(A _ { 1 } , A _ { 2 }\) and \(A _ { 3 }\) each have the same distribution as \(A\), where \(A \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 28,5 ^ { 2 } \right)\) The random variable \(B\) is defined as $$B = 2 X + \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { 3 } A _ { i }$$ where \(X , A _ { 1 } , A _ { 2 }\) and \(A _ { 3 }\) are independent.
  2. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( B \leqslant 145 \mid B > 120 )\)

6. The random variable $W$ is defined as

$$W = 3 X - 4 Y$$

where $X \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 21,2 ^ { 2 } \right)$ and $Y \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 8.5 , \sigma ^ { 2 } \right)$ and $X$ and $Y$ are independent.\\
Given that $\mathrm { P } ( W < 44 ) = 0.9$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item find the value of $\sigma$, giving your answer to 2 decimal places.

The random variables $A _ { 1 } , A _ { 2 }$ and $A _ { 3 }$ each have the same distribution as $A$, where $A \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 28,5 ^ { 2 } \right)$

The random variable $B$ is defined as

$$B = 2 X + \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { 3 } A _ { i }$$

where $X , A _ { 1 } , A _ { 2 }$ and $A _ { 3 }$ are independent.
\item Find $\mathrm { P } ( B \leqslant 145 \mid B > 120 )$
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2016 Q6 [15]}}