Edexcel S3 2024 January — Question 4 10 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2024
SessionJanuary
Marks10
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicChi-squared goodness of fit
TypeChi-squared goodness of fit: Poisson
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a standard chi-squared goodness of fit test for a Poisson distribution with straightforward calculations. Parts (a)-(c) involve routine mean calculation and Poisson probability computations. Part (d) requires standard hypothesis test procedure with given partial sum, making it easier than average. The question is well-scaffolded with most computational work provided or guided.
Spec5.02j Poisson formula: P(X=x) = e^(-lambda)*lambda^x/x!5.02k Calculate Poisson probabilities5.06c Fit other distributions: discrete and continuous

  1. The number of jobs sent to a printer per hour in a small office is recorded for 120 hours. The results are summarised in the following table.
Number of jobs012345
Frequency2434282185
  1. Show that the mean number of jobs sent to the printer per hour for these data is 1.75 The office manager believes that the number of jobs sent to the printer per hour can be modelled using a Poisson distribution. The office manager uses the mean given in part (a) to calculate the expected frequencies for this model. Some of the results are given in the following table.
    Number of jobs012345 or more
    Expected frequency20.8536.4931.93\(r\)\(s\)3.95
  2. Show that the value of \(s\) is 8.15 to 2 decimal places.
  3. Find the value of \(r\) to 2 decimal places. The value of \(\sum \frac { \left( O _ { i } - E _ { i } \right) ^ { 2 } } { E _ { i } }\) for the first four frequencies in the table is 1.43
  4. Test, at the \(5 \%\) level of significance, whether or not the number of jobs sent to the printer per hour can be modelled using a Poisson distribution. Show your working clearly, stating your hypotheses, test statistic and critical value.

\begin{enumerate}
  \item The number of jobs sent to a printer per hour in a small office is recorded for 120 hours. The results are summarised in the following table.
\end{enumerate}

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Number of jobs & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 \\
\hline
Frequency & 24 & 34 & 28 & 21 & 8 & 5 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(a) Show that the mean number of jobs sent to the printer per hour for these data is 1.75

The office manager believes that the number of jobs sent to the printer per hour can be modelled using a Poisson distribution.

The office manager uses the mean given in part (a) to calculate the expected frequencies for this model. Some of the results are given in the following table.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Number of jobs & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 or more \\
\hline
Expected frequency & 20.85 & 36.49 & 31.93 & $r$ & $s$ & 3.95 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(b) Show that the value of $s$ is 8.15 to 2 decimal places.\\
(c) Find the value of $r$ to 2 decimal places.

The value of $\sum \frac { \left( O _ { i } - E _ { i } \right) ^ { 2 } } { E _ { i } }$ for the first four frequencies in the table is 1.43\\
(d) Test, at the $5 \%$ level of significance, whether or not the number of jobs sent to the printer per hour can be modelled using a Poisson distribution. Show your working clearly, stating your hypotheses, test statistic and critical value.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2024 Q4 [10]}}