| Exam Board | Edexcel |
|---|---|
| Module | S3 (Statistics 3) |
| Year | 2022 |
| Session | January |
| Marks | 12 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Hypothesis test of Pearson’s product-moment correlation coefficient |
| Type | Calculate PMCC from summary statistics |
| Difficulty | Moderate -0.3 This is a straightforward S3 question requiring standard application of PMCC and Spearman's formulas with given summary statistics. Part (a) is direct substitution into r = S_xy/√(S_xx × S_yy), parts (b-c) are routine hypothesis test procedure, and parts (d-e) require ranking and applying Spearman's formula. All techniques are standard textbook exercises with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly easier than average. |
| Spec | 5.08a Pearson correlation: calculate pmcc5.08d Hypothesis test: Pearson correlation |
| Man | \(A\) | \(B\) | \(C\) | \(D\) | \(E\) | \(F\) | \(G\) | \(H\) | \(I\) | \(J\) |
| MR ( \(\boldsymbol { x }\) ) | 6.24 | 5.94 | 6.83 | 6.53 | 6.31 | 7.44 | 7.32 | 8.70 | 7.88 | 7.78 |
| BMI ( \(\boldsymbol { y }\) ) | 19.6 | 19.2 | 23.6 | 21.4 | 20.2 | 20.8 | 22.9 | 25.5 | 23.3 | 25.1 |
| DPA rank | 10 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(r = \frac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{S_{xx}S_{yy}}} = \frac{15.1608}{\sqrt{6.90181 \times 45.304}}\) | M1 | For use of \(\frac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{S_{xx}S_{yy}}}\) |
| \(= 0.8573\ldots\) awrt 0.857 | A1 | awrt 0.857 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(H_0: \rho = 0\), \(H_1: \rho > 0\) | B1 | Both hypotheses correct. Must be in terms of \(\rho\). Must be attached to \(H_0\) and \(H_1\). Do not allow hypotheses in words on their own. |
| Critical value \(5\% = 0.5494\) | B1 | Critical value of 0.5494 |
| Significant evidence to suggest positive correlation between MR and BMI | B1 | Correct conclusion rejecting \(H_0\) which must mention positive correlation, MR and BMI. Must be consistent with their CV and their \(r\), with \( |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| MR and BMI measurements are normally (or bivariate normal) distributed | B1 | Correct assumption referring to MR and BMI needing to be normally distributed |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| Ranks for MR: 9 10 6 7 8 4 5 1 2 3 | B1 | Attempt to rank MR (at least four correct). Allow reverse ranks for MR: 2 1 5 4 3 7 6 10 9 8 |
| \(\sum d^2 = 1+9+9+1+4+1+16+9+9+1 = 60\) | M1 | For finding the difference between each of the ranks and evaluating \(\sum d^2\). Implied by \(\sum d^2 = 60\) or for reverse ranks \(\sum d^2 = 270\) |
| \(r_s = 1 - \frac{6(60)}{10(99)}\) | M1 | Using \(1 - \frac{6\sum d^2}{10(99)}\) with their \(\sum d^2\) |
| \(= 0.6363\) awrt \((\pm)0.636\) | A1 | awrt \((\pm)0.636\) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \([H_0: \rho = 0, \ H_1: \rho \neq 0]\) | — | |
| Critical value 0.6485 | B1 | Critical value of 0.6485 (or \(-0.6485\) if \(r_s < 0\)) |
| There is insufficient evidence of a correlation between MR and DPA | B1 | Correct conclusion not rejecting \(H_0\), must mention MR and DPA. Must be consistent with their CV and their \(r_s\), with \( |
# Question 3:
## Part (a):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $r = \frac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{S_{xx}S_{yy}}} = \frac{15.1608}{\sqrt{6.90181 \times 45.304}}$ | M1 | For use of $\frac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{S_{xx}S_{yy}}}$ |
| $= 0.8573\ldots$ awrt 0.857 | A1 | awrt 0.857 |
## Part (b):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $H_0: \rho = 0$, $H_1: \rho > 0$ | B1 | Both hypotheses correct. Must be in terms of $\rho$. Must be attached to $H_0$ and $H_1$. Do not allow hypotheses in words on their own. |
| Critical value $5\% = 0.5494$ | B1 | Critical value of 0.5494 |
| Significant evidence to suggest positive correlation between MR and BMI | B1 | Correct conclusion rejecting $H_0$ which must mention positive correlation, MR and BMI. Must be consistent with their CV and their $r$, with $|\text{their CV}| < 1$ and $|\text{their } r| < 1$ |
## Part (c):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| MR and BMI measurements are normally (or bivariate normal) distributed | B1 | Correct assumption referring to MR and BMI needing to be normally distributed |
## Part (d):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Ranks for MR: 9 10 6 7 8 4 5 1 2 3 | B1 | Attempt to rank MR (at least four correct). Allow reverse ranks for MR: 2 1 5 4 3 7 6 10 9 8 |
| $\sum d^2 = 1+9+9+1+4+1+16+9+9+1 = 60$ | M1 | For finding the difference between each of the ranks and evaluating $\sum d^2$. Implied by $\sum d^2 = 60$ or for reverse ranks $\sum d^2 = 270$ |
| $r_s = 1 - \frac{6(60)}{10(99)}$ | M1 | Using $1 - \frac{6\sum d^2}{10(99)}$ with their $\sum d^2$ |
| $= 0.6363$ awrt $(\pm)0.636$ | A1 | awrt $(\pm)0.636$ |
## Part (e):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $[H_0: \rho = 0, \ H_1: \rho \neq 0]$ | — | |
| Critical value 0.6485 | B1 | Critical value of 0.6485 (or $-0.6485$ if $r_s < 0$) |
| There is insufficient evidence of a correlation between MR and DPA | B1 | Correct conclusion not rejecting $H_0$, must mention MR and DPA. Must be consistent with their CV and their $r_s$, with $|\text{their CV}| < 1$ and $|\text{their } r_s| < 1$ |
---
\begin{enumerate}
\item A medical research team carried out an investigation into the metabolic rate, MR, of men aged between 30 years and 60 years.
\end{enumerate}
A random sample of 10 men was taken from this age group.\\
The table below shows for each man his MR and his body mass index, BMI. The table also shows the rank for the level of daily physical activity, DPA, which was assessed by the medical research team.
Rank 1 was assigned to the man with the highest level of daily physical activity.
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Man & $A$ & $B$ & $C$ & $D$ & $E$ & $F$ & $G$ & $H$ & $I$ & $J$ \\
\hline
MR ( $\boldsymbol { x }$ ) & 6.24 & 5.94 & 6.83 & 6.53 & 6.31 & 7.44 & 7.32 & 8.70 & 7.88 & 7.78 \\
\hline
BMI ( $\boldsymbol { y }$ ) & 19.6 & 19.2 & 23.6 & 21.4 & 20.2 & 20.8 & 22.9 & 25.5 & 23.3 & 25.1 \\
\hline
DPA rank & 10 & 7 & 9 & 8 & 6 & 3 & 1 & 4 & 5 & 2 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
$$\text { [You may use } \quad \mathrm { S } _ { x y } = 15.1608 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { x x } = 6.90181 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { y y } = 45.304 \text { ] }$$
(a) Calculate the value of the product moment correlation coefficient between MR and BMI for these 10 men.\\
(b) Use your value of the product moment correlation coefficient to test, at the 5\% significance level, whether or not there is evidence of a positive correlation between MR and BMI.\\
State your hypotheses clearly.\\
(c) State an assumption that must be made to carry out the test in part (b).\\
(d) Calculate the value of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between MR and DPA for these 10 men.\\
(e) Use a two-tailed test and a $5 \%$ level of significance to assess whether or not there is evidence of a correlation between MR and DPA.
\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2022 Q3 [12]}}