Edexcel S3 2022 January — Question 1 8 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2022
SessionJanuary
Marks8
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicNon-parametric tests
TypeSystematic sampling methods
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward question testing basic understanding of sampling methods with no calculations required. Students only need to recall definitions and explain standard advantages/disadvantages of systematic vs simple random vs stratified sampling. The numerical context (1200/60, 200 students) requires minimal arithmetic to recognize the stratification issue. This is considerably easier than average A-level maths questions which typically require multi-step problem-solving or technical manipulation.
Spec2.01c Sampling techniques: simple random, opportunity, etc2.01d Select/critique sampling: in context

  1. The Headteacher of a school is thinking about making changes to the school day. She wants to take a sample of 60 students so that she can find out what the students think about the proposed changes.
The names of the 1200 students of the school are listed alphabetically.
  1. Explain how the Headteacher could take a systematic sample of 60 students.
    1. Explain why systematic sampling is likely to be quicker than simple random sampling in this situation.
    2. With reference to this situation,
      • explain why systematic sampling may introduce bias compared to simple random sampling
  2. give an example of the bias that may occur when using this alphabetical list
  3. When the Headteacher completes the systematic sample of size 60 she finds that 6 students were to be selected from Year 9. The Head of Mathematics suggests that a stratified sample of size 60 would be a more appropriate method. There were 200 students in Year 9.
  4. Explain why this suggests that a stratified sample of size 60 may be better than the systematic sample taken by the Headteacher.

Question 1:
Part (a)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance Notes
Number the 1200 students (\(1 - 1200\))B1 Numbering the students (Allow \(0 - 1199\))
Use a random starting point between 1 and 20B1 Using a random starting point. Must be between 1 and 20 (Allow \(0 - 19\))
Select every \(20^{th}\) person on the listB1 Selecting every \(20^{th}\) person
(3)
Part (b)(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance Notes
They only need to generate one random numberB1 A suitable comment
(1)
Part (b)(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance Notes
It is not random as the list is ordered alphabetically or not all combinations of sampling units are possibleM1 A suitable comment
e.g. unlikely siblings would be selectedA1 A suitable example
(2)
Part (c)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance Notes
Number of Y9 students \(= \dfrac{200}{1200} \times 60 \ [= 10]\)M1 A suitable calculation to find the number of Y9 students e.g. \(\dfrac{200}{1200} \times 60\)
The stratified sample gives a better proportion or is more representative oeA1 A correct explanation
(2)
Total: 8 marks
## Question 1:

### Part (a)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Number the 1200 students ($1 - 1200$) | B1 | Numbering the students (Allow $0 - 1199$) |
| Use a random starting point between 1 and 20 | B1 | Using a random starting point. Must be between 1 and 20 (Allow $0 - 19$) |
| Select every $20^{th}$ person on the list | B1 | Selecting every $20^{th}$ person |
| | **(3)** | |

### Part (b)(i)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| They only need to generate one random number | B1 | A suitable comment |
| | **(1)** | |

### Part (b)(ii)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| It is not random as the list is ordered alphabetically **or** not all combinations of sampling units are possible | M1 | A suitable comment |
| e.g. unlikely siblings would be selected | A1 | A suitable example |
| | **(2)** | |

### Part (c)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Y9 students $= \dfrac{200}{1200} \times 60 \ [= 10]$ | M1 | A suitable calculation to find the number of Y9 students e.g. $\dfrac{200}{1200} \times 60$ |
| The stratified sample gives a better proportion or is more representative oe | A1 | A correct explanation |
| | **(2)** | |

**Total: 8 marks**
\begin{enumerate}
  \item The Headteacher of a school is thinking about making changes to the school day. She wants to take a sample of 60 students so that she can find out what the students think about the proposed changes.
\end{enumerate}

The names of the 1200 students of the school are listed alphabetically.\\
(a) Explain how the Headteacher could take a systematic sample of 60 students.\\
(b) (i) Explain why systematic sampling is likely to be quicker than simple random sampling in this situation.\\
(ii) With reference to this situation,

\begin{itemize}
  \item explain why systematic sampling may introduce bias compared to simple random sampling
  \item give an example of the bias that may occur when using this alphabetical list
\end{itemize}

When the Headteacher completes the systematic sample of size 60 she finds that 6 students were to be selected from Year 9.

The Head of Mathematics suggests that a stratified sample of size 60 would be a more appropriate method.

There were 200 students in Year 9.\\
(c) Explain why this suggests that a stratified sample of size 60 may be better than the systematic sample taken by the Headteacher.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2022 Q1 [8]}}