| Exam Board | Edexcel |
|---|---|
| Module | S1 (Statistics 1) |
| Year | 2012 |
| Session | June |
| Marks | 10 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Normal Distribution |
| Type | Direct comparison of probabilities |
| Difficulty | Standard +0.3 This is a straightforward S1 normal distribution question requiring standard z-score calculations and inverse normal lookups. Part (a) is routine standardization, part (b) uses percentiles directly, and part (c) involves finding a mean given a probability condition. All techniques are standard textbook exercises with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly easier than average. |
| Spec | 2.04e Normal distribution: as model N(mu, sigma^2)2.04f Find normal probabilities: Z transformation |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
| \(z = \pm\left(\frac{150 - 162}{7.5}\right)\) | M1 | For attempting to standardise with 150, 162 and 7.5; accept \(\pm\); allow use of symmetry and therefore 174 instead of 150 |
| \(z = -1.6\) | A1 | 1st A1 for \(-1.6\) seen; allow 1.6 seen if 174 used or awrt 0.945 seen |
| \(P(F > 150) = P(Z > -1.6) = 0.9452(0071...)\) awrt \(\mathbf{0.945}\) | A1 | 2nd A1 for awrt 0.945; do not apply ISW if 0.9452 is followed by \(1 - 0.9452\), award A0; correct answer only 3/3 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
| \(z = \pm 0.2533\) (or better seen) | B1 | Giving \(z = \pm 0.25\) or \(\pm 0.253\) scores B0 but may get M1A1 |
| \((\pm)\frac{s - 162}{7.5} = 0.2533(47...)\) | M1 | For standardising with \(s\), 162 and 7.5; allow \(\pm\); only allow \(0.24 \leq z \leq 0.26\) |
| \(s = 163.9\) awrt \(\mathbf{164}\) | A1 | Correct answer only scores B0M1A1 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
| \(z = \pm 1.2816\) (or better seen) | B1 | Allow awrt \(\pm 1.28\) if B0 scored in (b) for \(z =\) awrt \(\pm 0.25\) |
| \(\frac{162 - \mu}{9} = -1.2815515...\) | M1, A1 | M1 for attempting to standardise with 162, 9 and \(\mu\); \(1.26 < |
| \(\mu = 173.533...\) awrt \(\mathbf{174}\) | A1 | 2nd A1 for awrt 174 (correct answer only scores B0M1A1A1); dependent on 1st A1. NB: \(\frac{162-\mu}{9} = 1.2816 \Rightarrow \mu = 162 + 9 \times 1.2816 =\) awrt 174 gets A0A0 |
# Question 6:
## Part (a):
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $z = \pm\left(\frac{150 - 162}{7.5}\right)$ | M1 | For attempting to standardise with 150, 162 and 7.5; accept $\pm$; allow use of symmetry and therefore 174 instead of 150 |
| $z = -1.6$ | A1 | 1st A1 for $-1.6$ seen; allow 1.6 seen if 174 used or awrt 0.945 seen |
| $P(F > 150) = P(Z > -1.6) = 0.9452(0071...)$ awrt $\mathbf{0.945}$ | A1 | 2nd A1 for awrt 0.945; do not apply ISW if 0.9452 is followed by $1 - 0.9452$, award A0; correct answer only 3/3 |
## Part (b):
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $z = \pm 0.2533$ (or better seen) | B1 | Giving $z = \pm 0.25$ or $\pm 0.253$ scores B0 but may get M1A1 |
| $(\pm)\frac{s - 162}{7.5} = 0.2533(47...)$ | M1 | For standardising with $s$, 162 and 7.5; allow $\pm$; only allow $0.24 \leq z \leq 0.26$ |
| $s = 163.9$ awrt $\mathbf{164}$ | A1 | Correct answer only scores B0M1A1 |
## Part (c):
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $z = \pm 1.2816$ (or better seen) | B1 | Allow awrt $\pm 1.28$ if B0 scored in (b) for $z =$ awrt $\pm 0.25$ |
| $\frac{162 - \mu}{9} = -1.2815515...$ | M1, A1 | M1 for attempting to standardise with 162, 9 and $\mu$; $1.26 < |z| < 1.31$; allow $\pm$; 1st A1 for correct equation with compatible signs |
| $\mu = 173.533...$ awrt $\mathbf{174}$ | A1 | 2nd A1 for awrt 174 (correct answer only scores B0M1A1A1); dependent on 1st A1. NB: $\frac{162-\mu}{9} = 1.2816 \Rightarrow \mu = 162 + 9 \times 1.2816 =$ awrt 174 gets A0A0 |
\begin{enumerate}
\item The heights of an adult female population are normally distributed with mean 162 cm and standard deviation 7.5 cm .\\
(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen adult female is taller than 150 cm .\\
(3)
\end{enumerate}
Sarah is a young girl. She visits her doctor and is told that she is at the 60th percentile for height.\\
(b) Assuming that Sarah remains at the 60th percentile, estimate her height as an adult.
The heights of an adult male population are normally distributed with standard deviation 9.0 cm .
Given that $90 \%$ of adult males are taller than the mean height of adult females,\\
(c) find the mean height of an adult male.
\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S1 2012 Q6 [10]}}