Edexcel S1 2023 October — Question 6 12 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2023
SessionOctober
Marks12
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear regression
TypeFind means from regression lines
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a straightforward application of standard regression formulas. Part (a) involves simple simultaneous equations and using the property that regression lines intersect at (x̄, ȳ). Parts (b) and (c) require direct substitution into memorized formulas for Sxy and the correlation coefficient. All steps are routine with no problem-solving insight required, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.08a Pearson correlation: calculate pmcc5.09b Least squares regression: concepts5.09c Calculate regression line

  1. The variables \(x\) and \(y\) have the following regression equations based on the same 12 observations.
\cline { 2 - 2 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{}Regression equation
\(y\) on \(x\)\(y = 1.4 x + 1.5\)
\(x\) on \(y\)\(x = 1.2 + 0.2 y\)
    1. Find the point of intersection of these lines.
    2. Hence show that \(\sum x = 25\) Given that $$\sum x y = \frac { 6961 } { 60 }$$
  1. Find \(S _ { x y }\)
  2. Find the product moment correlation coefficient between \(x\) and \(y\)

Question 6:
Part (a)(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(x = 1.2 + 0.2(1.4x+1.5)\) o.e. or \(y = 1.4(1.2+0.2y)+1.5\) o.e.M1 For either equation or attempt to solve simultaneously; may be implied by \(x = \frac{25}{12}\)/2.08 or better or \(y = \frac{53}{12}\)/4.42 or better
\(x = \frac{25}{12}\), \(y = \frac{53}{12}\)A1 A1 For either value; for both values (may be written as coordinate). NB This is M1 on EPEN
Part (a)(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\left[\sum x =\right] \frac{25}{12} \times 12 [= 25]\)A1* For \(\frac{25}{12}\times 12\); allow use of \(\sum x\) rather than \(\bar{x}\); as answer given no incorrect working must be seen. Working must be shown
Part (b)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\left[\sum y =\right] \frac{53}{12} \times 12 = 53\)M1 A1ft For \('\frac{53}{12}'\times 12\) ft their \(y\) coordinate; allow use of \(\sum y\) rather than \(\bar{y}\); for \(\sum y = 53\) or ft their \(y\) coordinate \(\times 12\)
\(S_{xy} = \frac{6961}{60} - \frac{(25\times 53)}{12} = 5.6\)M1 A1 Use of \(S_{xy} = \frac{6961}{60} - \frac{25\times'\sum y'}{12}\) ft their \(\sum y\); if \(\sum y\) not stated then M0; 5.6 (allow awrt 5.6)
Part (c)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\frac{5.6}{S_{xx}} = 1.4\) and \(\frac{5.6}{S_{yy}} = 0.2\)M1 Any correct method to find \(r\): e.g. \(\frac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{S_{xx}\times S_{yy}}}\) or \(\frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}} = 1.4\) and \(\frac{S_{xy}}{S_{yy}} = 0.2\)
\(S_{xx} = 4\) and \(S_{yy} = 28\)A1 cao
\(r = \frac{5.6}{\sqrt{4\times 28}} = 0.5291...\)M1 dA1 Correct formula applied; awrt 0.529
Question (c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
For use of the gradient to find \(S_{xx}\) and \(S_{yy}\) ft their \(S_{xy}\), or use of \(\dfrac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{\dfrac{S_{xy}}{1.4} \times \dfrac{S_{xy}}{0.2}}}\), or setting both \(\dfrac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}}\) and \(\dfrac{S_{xy}}{S_{yy}}\) equal to their respective gradientsM1 Method mark for correct approach
\(S_{xx} = 4\) and \(S_{yy} = 28\), or \(\dfrac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{1.4 \times 0.2}}\) or \(\dfrac{(S_{xy})^2}{S_{xx} \times S_{yy}} = 1.4 \times 0.2\)A1 Correct values or equivalent expression
For a correct expression for \(r\) ft their \(S_{xy}\), \(S_{xx}\) and \(S_{yy}\) or \(\sqrt{1.4 \times 0.2}\). If answer is incorrect then you must see their stated values substituted into a correct expression for \(r\). An answer of \(\dfrac{\sqrt{7}}{5}\) implies M1A1M1 onlyM1 Dependent on correct expression for \(r\)
awrt \(0.529\)dA1 Dependent on all previous marks being awarded
# Question 6:

## Part (a)(i)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $x = 1.2 + 0.2(1.4x+1.5)$ o.e. or $y = 1.4(1.2+0.2y)+1.5$ o.e. | M1 | For either equation or attempt to solve simultaneously; may be implied by $x = \frac{25}{12}$/2.08 or better or $y = \frac{53}{12}$/4.42 or better |
| $x = \frac{25}{12}$, $y = \frac{53}{12}$ | A1 A1 | For either value; for both values (may be written as coordinate). **NB** This is M1 on EPEN |

## Part (a)(ii)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\left[\sum x =\right] \frac{25}{12} \times 12 [= 25]$ | A1* | For $\frac{25}{12}\times 12$; allow use of $\sum x$ rather than $\bar{x}$; as answer given no incorrect working must be seen. **Working must be shown** |

## Part (b)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\left[\sum y =\right] \frac{53}{12} \times 12 = 53$ | M1 A1ft | For $'\frac{53}{12}'\times 12$ ft their $y$ coordinate; allow use of $\sum y$ rather than $\bar{y}$; for $\sum y = 53$ or ft their $y$ coordinate $\times 12$ |
| $S_{xy} = \frac{6961}{60} - \frac{(25\times 53)}{12} = 5.6$ | M1 A1 | Use of $S_{xy} = \frac{6961}{60} - \frac{25\times'\sum y'}{12}$ ft their $\sum y$; if $\sum y$ not stated then M0; 5.6 (allow awrt 5.6) |

## Part (c)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\frac{5.6}{S_{xx}} = 1.4$ and $\frac{5.6}{S_{yy}} = 0.2$ | M1 | Any correct method to find $r$: e.g. $\frac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{S_{xx}\times S_{yy}}}$ or $\frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}} = 1.4$ and $\frac{S_{xy}}{S_{yy}} = 0.2$ |
| $S_{xx} = 4$ and $S_{yy} = 28$ | A1 | cao |
| $r = \frac{5.6}{\sqrt{4\times 28}} = 0.5291...$ | M1 dA1 | Correct formula applied; awrt 0.529 |

## Question (c):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| For use of the gradient to find $S_{xx}$ and $S_{yy}$ ft their $S_{xy}$, or use of $\dfrac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{\dfrac{S_{xy}}{1.4} \times \dfrac{S_{xy}}{0.2}}}$, or setting both $\dfrac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}}$ and $\dfrac{S_{xy}}{S_{yy}}$ equal to their respective gradients | M1 | Method mark for correct approach |
| $S_{xx} = 4$ and $S_{yy} = 28$, or $\dfrac{S_{xy}}{\sqrt{1.4 \times 0.2}}$ or $\dfrac{(S_{xy})^2}{S_{xx} \times S_{yy}} = 1.4 \times 0.2$ | A1 | Correct values or equivalent expression |
| For a correct expression for $r$ ft their $S_{xy}$, $S_{xx}$ and $S_{yy}$ or $\sqrt{1.4 \times 0.2}$. If answer is incorrect then you must see their stated values substituted into a correct expression for $r$. An answer of $\dfrac{\sqrt{7}}{5}$ implies M1A1M1 only | M1 | Dependent on correct expression for $r$ |
| awrt $0.529$ | dA1 | Dependent on all previous marks being awarded |
\begin{enumerate}
  \item The variables $x$ and $y$ have the following regression equations based on the same 12 observations.
\end{enumerate}

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | }
\cline { 2 - 2 }
\multicolumn{1}{c|}{} & Regression equation \\
\hline
$y$ on $x$ & $y = 1.4 x + 1.5$ \\
\hline
$x$ on $y$ & $x = 1.2 + 0.2 y$ \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(a) (i) Find the point of intersection of these lines.\\
(ii) Hence show that $\sum x = 25$

Given that

$$\sum x y = \frac { 6961 } { 60 }$$

(b) Find $S _ { x y }$\\
(c) Find the product moment correlation coefficient between $x$ and $y$

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S1 2023 Q6 [12]}}