OCR Further Discrete AS Specimen — Question 3 6 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleFurther Discrete AS (Further Discrete AS)
SessionSpecimen
Marks6
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Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicGroups
DifficultyChallenging +1.2 This is a standard game theory question requiring application of the mixed strategy formula for 2×2 games. While it involves multiple steps (finding expected values, solving equations, interpreting results), the method is algorithmic and well-practiced. The conceptual demand is moderate—understanding what makes a strategy optimal—but no novel insight is required beyond applying the standard technique.
Spec7.08e Mixed strategies: optimal strategy using equations or graphical method

3 A zero-sum game is being played between two players, \(X\) and \(Y\). The pay-off matrix for \(X\) is given below. \section*{Player X}
Player \(\boldsymbol { Y }\)
Strategy \(\boldsymbol { R }\)Strategy \(\boldsymbol { S }\)
Strategy \(\boldsymbol { P }\)4- 2
Strategy \(\boldsymbol { Q }\)- 31
  1. Find an optimal mixed strategy for player \(X\).
  2. Give one assumption that must be made about the behaviour of \(Y\) in order to make the mixed strategy of Player \(X\) valid.

Question 3:
AnswerMarks Guidance
3(i) Let X play strategy P with probability p and
strategy Q with probability 1(cid:16) p
If Y plays strategy R, X can expect to win
4p(cid:16)3(cid:11)1(cid:16) p(cid:12)(cid:32)7p(cid:16)3
If Y plays S, X can expect (cid:16)2p(cid:14)(cid:11)1(cid:16) pp (cid:12)(cid:32)1(cid:16)3p
p(cid:32)0(cid:159)minE(cid:11)win(cid:12)(cid:32)(cid:16)3
S
p(cid:32)1(cid:159)minE(cid:11)win(cid:12)(cid:32)(cid:16)2
7p(cid:16)3(cid:32)1(cid:16)3p(cid:159) p(cid:32)0.4 and
minE(cid:11)win(cid:12)(cid:32)(cid:16)0.2
X should choose randomly between strategies P
AnswerMarks
and Q so that P has prob 0.4 and Q has prob 0.6M1
e
A1
E1
M1
A1
AnswerMarks
[5]i3.3
c
1.1
3.4
1.1a
AnswerMarks
3.4m
Calculating expected winnings
if Y plays R or S
Both correct
Explicitly considering extreme points,
or using a sketch graph to show that
optimum point is at intersection
Solving their expressions
simultaneously to achieve their p
AnswerMarks
Interpretation of p(cid:32)0.4 in contextMay use p for P(cid:11)Xplays Q(cid:12)
May add a constant throughout
Need not simplify expressions
BC
AnswerMarks Guidance
3(ii) E.g. You must assume that Y is not going to play
predictably
E.g. You must assume that Y is not going to use a
AnswerMarks Guidance
pure strategyE1
[1]3.5b For one limitation of the model with
reference to Y’s limited behaviour
AnswerMarks Guidance
31 0
30 1
3
n
Question 3:
3 | (i) | Let X play strategy P with probability p and
strategy Q with probability 1(cid:16) p
If Y plays strategy R, X can expect to win
4p(cid:16)3(cid:11)1(cid:16) p(cid:12)(cid:32)7p(cid:16)3
If Y plays S, X can expect (cid:16)2p(cid:14)(cid:11)1(cid:16) pp (cid:12)(cid:32)1(cid:16)3p
p(cid:32)0(cid:159)minE(cid:11)win(cid:12)(cid:32)(cid:16)3
S
p(cid:32)1(cid:159)minE(cid:11)win(cid:12)(cid:32)(cid:16)2
7p(cid:16)3(cid:32)1(cid:16)3p(cid:159) p(cid:32)0.4 and
minE(cid:11)win(cid:12)(cid:32)(cid:16)0.2
X should choose randomly between strategies P
and Q so that P has prob 0.4 and Q has prob 0.6 | M1
e
A1
E1
M1
A1
[5] | i3.3
c
1.1
3.4
1.1a
3.4 | m
Calculating expected winnings
if Y plays R or S
Both correct
Explicitly considering extreme points,
or using a sketch graph to show that
optimum point is at intersection
Solving their expressions
simultaneously to achieve their p
Interpretation of p(cid:32)0.4 in context | May use p for P(cid:11)Xplays Q(cid:12)
May add a constant throughout
Need not simplify expressions
BC
3 | (ii) | E.g. You must assume that Y is not going to play
predictably
E.g. You must assume that Y is not going to use a
pure strategy | E1
[1] | 3.5b | For one limitation of the model with
reference to Y’s limited behaviour
3 | 1 | 0 | 7.00
3 | 0 | 1 | 8.50
3
n
3 A zero-sum game is being played between two players, $X$ and $Y$. The pay-off matrix for $X$ is given below.

\section*{Player X}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ l | r | r }
 & \multicolumn{2}{|c}{Player $\boldsymbol { Y }$} \\
 & Strategy $\boldsymbol { R }$ & Strategy $\boldsymbol { S }$ \\
\hline
Strategy $\boldsymbol { P }$ & 4 & - 2 \\
\hline
Strategy $\boldsymbol { Q }$ & - 3 & 1 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(i) Find an optimal mixed strategy for player $X$.\\
(ii) Give one assumption that must be made about the behaviour of $Y$ in order to make the mixed strategy of Player $X$ valid.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR Further Discrete AS  Q3 [6]}}