11 Casey and Riley attend a large school. They are discussing the music preferences of the students at their school. Casey believes that the favourite band of 75\% of the students is Blue Rocking. Riley believes that the true figure is greater than 75\%.
They plan to carry out a hypothesis test at the \(5 \%\) significance level, using the hypotheses \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.75\) and \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p > 0.75\).
They choose a random sample of 60 students from the school, and note the number, \(X\), who say that their favourite band is Blue Rocking.
They find that \(X = 50\).
- Assuming the null hypothesis to be true, Riley correctly calculates that \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 50 ) = 0.0407\), correct to 3 significant figures.
Riley says that, because this value is less than 0.05 , the null hypothesis should be rejected.
Explain why this statement is incorrect. - Carry out the test.
- State which mathematical model is used in the calculation in part (b), including the value(s) of any parameter(s).
- The random sample was chosen without replacement.
Explain whether this invalidates the model used in part (b).