OCR S1 2013 June — Question 7

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2013
SessionJune
TopicHypothesis test of binomial distributions
TypeMulti-stage or conditional testing

7 In a factory, an inspector checks a random sample of 30 mugs from a large batch and notes the number, \(X\), which are defective. He then deals with the batch as follows.
  • If \(X < 2\), the batch is accepted.
  • If \(X > 2\), the batch is rejected.
  • If \(X = 2\), the inspector selects another random sample of only 15 mugs from the batch. If this second sample contains 1 or more defective mugs, the batch is rejected. Otherwise the batch is accepted.
It is given that \(5 \%\) of mugs are defective.
  1. (a) Find the probability that the batch is rejected after just the first sample is checked.
    (b) Show that the probability that the batch is rejected is 0.327 , correct to 3 significant figures.
  2. Batches are checked one after another. Find the probability that the first batch to be rejected is either the 4th or the 5th batch that is checked.
  3. A bag contains 12 black discs, 10 white discs and 5 green discs. Three discs are drawn at random from the bag, without replacement. Find the probability that all three discs are of different colours.
  4. A bag contains 30 red discs and 20 blue discs. A second bag contains 50 discs, each of which is either red or blue. A disc is drawn at random from each bag. The probability that these two discs are of different colours is 0.54 . Find the number of red discs that were in the second bag at the start.