OCR MEI S2 2012 June — Question 2

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2012
SessionJune
TopicApproximating the Binomial to the Poisson distribution
TypeState exact binomial distribution

2 A particular genetic mutation occurs in one in every 300 births on average. A random sample of 1200 births is selected.
  1. State the exact distribution of \(X\), the number of births in the sample which have the mutation.
  2. Explain why \(X\) has, approximately, a Poisson distribution.
  3. Use a Poisson approximating distribution to find
    (A) \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 1 )\),
    (B) \(\mathrm { P } ( X > 4 )\).
  4. Twenty independent samples, each of 1200 births, are selected. State the mean and variance of a Normal approximating distribution suitable for modelling the total number of births with the mutation in the twenty samples.
  5. Use this Normal approximating distribution to
    (A) find the probability that there are at least 90 births which have the mutation,
    ( \(B\) ) find the least value of \(k\) such that the probability that there are at most \(k\) births with this mutation is greater than 5\%.