OCR S2 2007 January — Question 4 7 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2007
SessionJanuary
Marks7
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicCentral limit theorem
TypeUnbiased estimator from summary statistics
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward application of standard formulas. Part (i) requires the unbiased variance formula s²=Σw²-(Σw)²/n/(n-1), which is direct substitution. Part (ii) applies CLT to state W̄~N(μ, σ²/70) using the sample mean and variance from part (i) - both are routine bookwork with minimal problem-solving required.
Spec2.05b Hypothesis test for binomial proportion2.05d Sample mean as random variable

4 A set of observations of a random variable \(W\) can be summarised as follows: $$n = 14 , \quad \Sigma w = 100.8 , \quad \Sigma w ^ { 2 } = 938.70 .$$
  1. Calculate an unbiased estimate of the variance of \(W\).
  2. The mean of 70 observations of \(W\) is denoted by \(\bar { W }\). State the approximate distribution of \(\bar { W }\), including unbiased estimate(s) of any parameter(s).

AnswerMarks Guidance
(i) \(\bar{w} = 100.8 \div 14 = 7.2\)B1 7.2 seen or implied
\(\frac{938.70}{14} - \bar{w}^2 = [15.21]\)M1 Use \(\sum w^2\) – their \(\bar{w}^2\)
\(\times \frac{14}{13}\)M1 Multiply by \(n/(n-1)\)
\(= \frac{16.38}{...}\)A1 4
\((ST: 7.2, 16.38 ÷ 70)\)B1 Normal stated
(ii) \([N(7.2, 0.234)]\)
B1V3 Variance [their \((1)\div + 70]\), allow arithmetic slip
(i) $\bar{w} = 100.8 \div 14 = 7.2$ | B1 | 7.2 seen or implied
$\frac{938.70}{14} - \bar{w}^2 = [15.21]$ | M1 | Use $\sum w^2$ – their $\bar{w}^2$
$\times \frac{14}{13}$ | M1 | Multiply by $n/(n-1)$
$= \frac{16.38}{...}$ | A1 | 4 | Answer, a.r.t. 16.4
 | | $(ST: 7.2, 16.38 ÷ 70)$ | B1 | Normal stated

(ii) | | $[N(7.2, 0.234)]$ | B1V | Mean their $\bar{w}$ √
 | | | B1V | 3 | Variance [their $(1)\div + 70]$, allow arithmetic slip
4 A set of observations of a random variable $W$ can be summarised as follows:

$$n = 14 , \quad \Sigma w = 100.8 , \quad \Sigma w ^ { 2 } = 938.70 .$$

(i) Calculate an unbiased estimate of the variance of $W$.\\
(ii) The mean of 70 observations of $W$ is denoted by $\bar { W }$. State the approximate distribution of $\bar { W }$, including unbiased estimate(s) of any parameter(s).

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S2 2007 Q4 [7]}}