OCR S1 2016 June — Question 4 8 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2016
SessionJune
Marks8
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicHypothesis test of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficien
TypeSketch scatter diagram scenarios
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This question tests understanding of Spearman's rank correlation through visual interpretation and basic calculation. Part (i) requires recognizing perfect rank correlation from a diagram (straightforward), part (ii) tests conceptual understanding of when r_s ≠ r (requires insight but is a standard S1 concept), and part (iii) involves a routine calculation of r_s from given data. While it requires understanding the distinction between correlation coefficients, the calculations are mechanical and the concepts are core S1 material, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04c Calculate binomial probabilities5.08e Spearman rank correlation5.08f Hypothesis test: Spearman rank5.08g Compare: Pearson vs Spearman

4 In this question the product moment correlation coefficient is denoted by \(r\) and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is denoted by \(r _ { s }\).
  1. The scatter diagram in Fig. 1 shows the results of an experiment involving some bivariate data. \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{b5ce3230-7528-439c-9e85-ef159a49cba3-4_597_595_434_733} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 1}
    \end{figure} Write down the value of \(r _ { s }\) for these data.
  2. On the diagram in the Answer Booklet, draw five points such that \(r _ { s } = 1\) and \(r \neq 1\).
  3. The scatter diagram in Fig. 2 shows the results of another experiment involving 5 items of bivariate data. \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{b5ce3230-7528-439c-9e85-ef159a49cba3-4_604_608_1484_731} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 2}
    \end{figure} Calculate the value of \(r _ { s }\).
  4. A random variable \(X\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 25,0.6 )\). Find
    1. \(\mathrm { P } ( X \leqslant 14 )\),
    2. \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 14 )\),
    3. \(\quad \operatorname { Var } ( X )\).
    4. A random variable \(Y\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 24,0.3 )\). Write down an expression for \(\mathrm { P } ( Y = y )\) and evaluate this probability in the case where \(y = 8\).
    5. A random variable \(Z\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 2,0.2 )\). Find the probability that two randomly chosen values of \(Z\) are equal.
      (a) Find the number of ways in which 12 people can be divided into three groups containing 5 people, 4 people and 3 people, without regard to order.
      (b) The diagram shows 7 cards, each with a letter on it. $$\mathrm { A } \mathrm {~A} \mathrm {~A} \mathrm {~B} \text { } \mathrm { B } \text { } \mathrm { R } \text { } \mathrm { R }$$ The 7 cards are arranged in a random order in a straight line.
      1. Find the number of possible arrangements of the 7 letters.
      2. Find the probability that the 7 letters form the name BARBARA. The 7 cards are shuffled. Now 4 of the 7 cards are chosen at random and arranged in a random order in a straight line.
      3. Find the probability that the letters form the word ABBA .

Question 4:
Part (i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(-1\)B1 [1]
Part (ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
5 pts (or line or curve or zigzag) such that: grad always +ve (not vertical); not in st lineB1, B1 dep [2] Allow \(\geq 4\) pts; dep 1st B1; Must be clearly intended not to be st line; eg st line, +ve grad, B1B0; If crosses and curve or line, mark crosses; SC Some segments vertical (not all) B0B1
Part (iii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(x\): 1 2 3 4 5 or 1 2 3 4 5; \(y\): 1 2 3 5 4 \(\quad\) 2 1 3 4 5; Allow both sets reversedM1, A1 Attempt ranks; Correct ranks; \(\Sigma x=\Sigma y=15\); \(\Sigma x^2=\Sigma y^2=55\); \(\Sigma xy=54\); \(S_{xx}=S_{yy}=55-(15^2\div5)=10\); \(S_{xy}=54-(15^2\div5)=9\); correct method for one \(S\) M1; \(r_s=\frac{9}{\sqrt{10\times10}}\) fully correct method M1
\(\Sigma d^2 = 2\)M1 dep 1st M1; Correct method for \(\Sigma d^2\); ft their ranks; NB \(\Sigma d^2 = 2^2 = 4\): M0
\(r_s = 1 - \frac{6\times\text{"2"}}{5(5^2-1)}\)M1 Sub their \(\Sigma d^2\) into correct formula, dep M1M1, eg not using \(\Sigma d^2=2^2=4\)
\(= 0.9\)A1 [5] ans 0.9, no wking: full marks; ans \(-0.9\) with wking may get M1M1M1; ans \(-0.9\), no wking: no marks
# Question 4:

## Part (i)
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| $-1$ | B1 **[1]** | |

## Part (ii)
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| 5 pts (or line or curve or zigzag) such that: grad always +ve (not vertical); not in st line | B1, B1 dep **[2]** | Allow $\geq 4$ pts; dep 1st B1; Must be clearly intended not to be st line; eg st line, +ve grad, B1B0; If crosses **and** curve or line, mark crosses; SC Some segments vertical (not all) B0B1 |

## Part (iii)
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| $x$: 1 2 3 4 5 or 1 2 3 4 5; $y$: 1 2 3 5 4 $\quad$ 2 1 3 4 5; Allow both sets reversed | M1, A1 | Attempt ranks; Correct ranks; $\Sigma x=\Sigma y=15$; $\Sigma x^2=\Sigma y^2=55$; $\Sigma xy=54$; $S_{xx}=S_{yy}=55-(15^2\div5)=10$; $S_{xy}=54-(15^2\div5)=9$; correct method for one $S$ M1; $r_s=\frac{9}{\sqrt{10\times10}}$ fully correct method M1 |
| $\Sigma d^2 = 2$ | M1 | dep 1st M1; Correct method for $\Sigma d^2$; ft their ranks; NB $\Sigma d^2 = 2^2 = 4$: M0 |
| $r_s = 1 - \frac{6\times\text{"2"}}{5(5^2-1)}$ | M1 | Sub their $\Sigma d^2$ into correct formula, dep M1M1, eg not using $\Sigma d^2=2^2=4$ |
| $= 0.9$ | A1 **[5]** | ans 0.9, no wking: full marks; ans $-0.9$ with wking may get M1M1M1; ans $-0.9$, no wking: no marks |

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4 In this question the product moment correlation coefficient is denoted by $r$ and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is denoted by $r _ { s }$.\\
(i) The scatter diagram in Fig. 1 shows the results of an experiment involving some bivariate data.

\begin{figure}[h]
\begin{center}
  \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{b5ce3230-7528-439c-9e85-ef159a49cba3-4_597_595_434_733}
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{Fig. 1}
\end{center}
\end{figure}

Write down the value of $r _ { s }$ for these data.\\
(ii) On the diagram in the Answer Booklet, draw five points such that $r _ { s } = 1$ and $r \neq 1$.\\
(iii) The scatter diagram in Fig. 2 shows the results of another experiment involving 5 items of bivariate data.

\begin{figure}[h]
\begin{center}
  \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{b5ce3230-7528-439c-9e85-ef159a49cba3-4_604_608_1484_731}
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{Fig. 2}
\end{center}
\end{figure}

Calculate the value of $r _ { s }$.\\
(i) A random variable $X$ has the distribution $\mathrm { B } ( 25,0.6 )$. Find
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item $\mathrm { P } ( X \leqslant 14 )$,
\item $\mathrm { P } ( X = 14 )$,
\item $\quad \operatorname { Var } ( X )$.\\
(ii) A random variable $Y$ has the distribution $\mathrm { B } ( 24,0.3 )$. Write down an expression for $\mathrm { P } ( Y = y )$ and evaluate this probability in the case where $y = 8$.\\
(iii) A random variable $Z$ has the distribution $\mathrm { B } ( 2,0.2 )$. Find the probability that two randomly chosen values of $Z$ are equal.\\
(a) Find the number of ways in which 12 people can be divided into three groups containing 5 people, 4 people and 3 people, without regard to order.\\
(b) The diagram shows 7 cards, each with a letter on it.

$$\mathrm { A } \mathrm {~A} \mathrm {~A} \mathrm {~B} \text { } \mathrm { B } \text { } \mathrm { R } \text { } \mathrm { R }$$

The 7 cards are arranged in a random order in a straight line.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Find the number of possible arrangements of the 7 letters.
\item Find the probability that the 7 letters form the name BARBARA.

The 7 cards are shuffled. Now 4 of the 7 cards are chosen at random and arranged in a random order in a straight line.
\item Find the probability that the letters form the word ABBA .
\end{enumerate}\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S1 2016 Q4 [8]}}