Find sample size for test

2 A die has six faces numbered \(1,2,3,4,5,6\). Manjit suspects that the die is biased so that it shows a six on fewer throws than it would if it were fair. In order to test her suspicion, she throws the die a certain number of times and counts the number of sixes.

1. State suitable null and alternative hypotheses for Manjit's test.
2. There are no sixes in the first 15 throws. Show that this result is not significant at the \(5 \%\) level.
3. Find the smallest value of \(n\) such that, if there are no sixes in the first \(n\) throws, this result is significant at the 5\% level.

7 A geologist splits rocks to look for fossils. On average \(10 \%\) of the rocks selected from a particular area do in fact contain fossils. The geologist selects a random sample of 20 rocks from this area.

1. Find the probability that
   (A) exactly one of the rocks contains fossils,
   (B) at least one of the rocks contains fossils.
2. A random sample of \(n\) rocks is selected from this area. The geologist wants to have a probability of 0.8 or greater of finding fossils in at least one of the \(n\) rocks. Find the least possible value of \(n\).
3. The geologist explores a new area in which it is claimed that less than \(10 \%\) of rocks contain fossils. In order to investigate the claim, a random sample of 30 rocks from this area is selected, and the number which contain fossils is recorded. A hypothesis test is carried out at the 5\% level.
   (A) Write down suitable hypotheses for the test.
   (B) Show that the critical region consists only of the value 0 .
   (C) In fact, 2 of the 30 rocks in the sample contain fossils. Complete the test, stating your conclusions clearly.

4 A geologist splits rocks to look for fossils. On average 10\% of the rocks selected from a particular area do in fact contain fossils. The geologist selects a random sample of 20 rocks from this area.

1. Find the probability that
   (A) exactly one of the rocks contains fossils,
   (B) at least one of the rocks contains fossils.
2. A random sample of \(n\) rocks is selected from this area. The geologist wants to have a probability of 0.8 or greater of finding fossils in at least one of the \(n\) rocks. Find the least possible value of \(n\).
3. The geologist explores a new area in which it is claimed that less than \(10 \%\) of rocks contain fossils. In order to investigate the claim, a random sample of 30 rocks from this area is selected, and the number which contain fossils is recorded. A hypothesis test is carried out at the 5\% level.
   (A) Write down suitable hypotheses for the test.
   (B) Show that the critical region consists only of the value 0 .
   (C) In fact, 2 of the 30 rocks in the sample contain fossils. Complete the test, stating your conclusions clearly.

7 A television company believes that the proportion of households that can receive Channel C is 0.35 .

1. In a random sample of 14 households it is found that 2 can receive Channel C. Test, at the \(2.5 \%\) significance level, whether there is evidence that the proportion of households that can receive Channel C is less than 0.35.
2. On another occasion the test is carried out again, with the same hypotheses and significance level as in part (i), but using a new sample, of size \(n\). It is found that no members of the sample can receive Channel C. Find the largest value of \(n\) for which the null hypothesis is not rejected. Show all relevant working.

8 Consultations are taking place as to whether a site currently in use as a car park should be developed as a shopping mall. An agency acting on behalf of a firm of developers claims that at least \(65 \%\) of the local population are in favour of the development. In a survey of a random sample of 12 members of the local population, 6 are in favour of the development.

1. Carry out a test, at the \(10 \%\) significance level, to determine whether the result of the survey is consistent with the claim of the agency.
2. A local residents' group claims that no more than \(35 \%\) of the local population are in favour of the development. Without further calculations, state with a reason what can be said about the claim of the local residents' group.
3. A test is carried out, at the \(15 \%\) significance level, of the agency's claim. The test is based on a random sample of size \(2 n\), and exactly \(n\) of the sample are in favour of the development. Find the smallest possible value of \(n\) for which the outcome of the test is to reject the agency's claim.
   [0pt] [4] 4

2

1. The random variable \(R\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 6 , p )\). A random observation of \(R\) is found to be 6. Carry out a \(5 \%\) significance test of the null hypothesis \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.45\) against the alternative hypothesis \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p \neq 0.45\), showing all necessary details of your calculation.
2. The random variable \(S\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( n , p ) . \mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) and \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 }\) are as in part (i). A random observation of \(S\) is found to be 1 . Use tables to find the largest value of \(n\) for which \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is not rejected. Show the values of any relevant probabilities.

12 The jaguar is a species of big cat native to South America. Records show that 6\% of jaguars are born with black coats. Jaguars with black coats are known as black panthers. Due to deforestation a population of jaguars has become isolated in part of the Amazon basin. Researchers believe that the percentage of black panthers may not be \(6 \%\) in this population.

1. Find the minimum sample size needed to conduct a two-tailed test to determine whether there is any evidence at the \(5 \%\) level to suggest that the percentage of black panthers is not \(6 \%\). A research team identifies 70 possible sites for monitoring the jaguars remotely. 30 of these sites are randomly selected and cameras are installed. 83 different jaguars are filmed during the evidence gathering period. The team finds that 10 of the jaguars are black panthers.
2. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine whether the information gathered by the research team provides any evidence at the \(5 \%\) level to suggest that the percentage of black panthers in this population is not \(6 \%\).

1. Superbounce is a manufacturer of tennis balls.

It knows from past records that 10\% of its tennis balls fail a bounce test.

1. Find the probability that from a random sample of 10 of these tennis balls
   1. at least 4 fail the bounce test
   2. more than 1 but fewer than 5 fail the bounce test. The managing director makes changes to the production process and claims that these changes will reduce the probability of its tennis balls failing the bounce test. After the changes were made a random sample of 50 of the tennis balls were tested and it was found that 2 failed the bounce test.
2. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether or not this result supports the managing director's claim. In a second random sample of \(n\) tennis balls it was found that none failed the bounce test. As a result of this sample, the managing director's claim is supported at the 1\% significance level.
3. Find the smallest possible value of \(n\)

1. Past evidence shows that \(7 \%\) of pears grown by a farmer are unfit for sale.

This season it is believed that the proportion of pears that are unfit for sale has decreased. To test this belief a random sample of \(n\) pears is taken. The random variable \(Y\) represents the number of pears in the sample that are unfit for sale.

1. Find the smallest value of \(n\) such that \(Y = 0\) lies in the critical region for this test at a \(5 \%\) level of significance. In the past, \(8 \%\) of the pears grown by the farmer weigh more than 180 g . This season the farmer believes the proportion of pears weighing more than 180 g has changed. She takes a random sample of 75 pears and finds that 11 of them weigh more than 180 g .
2. Test, using a suitable approximation, whether there is evidence of a change in the proportion of pears weighing more than 180 g .
   You should use a \(5 \%\) level of significance and state your hypotheses clearly.

A supplier of widgets claims that only 10\% of his widgets have faults.

1. In a consignment of 50 widgets, 9 are faulty. Test, at the 5\% significance level, whether this suggests that the supplier's claim is false. [6 marks]
2. Find how many faulty widgets would be needed to provide evidence against the claim at the 1\% significance level. [3 marks]

A television company believes that the proportion of households that can receive Channel C is 0.35.

1. In a random sample of 14 households it is found that 2 can receive Channel C. Test, at the 2.5\% significance level, whether there is evidence that the proportion of households that can receive Channel C is less than 0.35. [7]
2. On another occasion the test is carried out again, with the same hypotheses and significance level as in part (i), but using a new sample, of size \(n\). It is found that no members of the sample can receive Channel C. Find the largest value of \(n\) for which the null hypothesis is not rejected. Show all relevant working. [4]