1.02z Models in context: use functions in modelling

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Edexcel P3 2024 January Q5
7 marks Moderate -0.3
  1. In this question you must show all stages of your working.
\section*{Solutions relying entirely on calculator technology are not acceptable.} The temperature, \(T ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\), of the air in a room \(t\) minutes after a heat source is switched off, is modelled by the equation $$T = 10 + A \mathrm { e } ^ { - B t }$$ where \(A\) and \(B\) are constants.
Given that the temperature of the air in the room at the instant the heat source was switched off was \(18 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\),
  1. find the value of \(A\) Given also that, exactly 45 minutes after the heat source was switched off, the temperature of the air in the room was \(16 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\),
  2. find the value of \(B\) to 3 significant figures. Using the values for \(A\) and \(B\),
  3. find, according to the model, the rate of change of the temperature of the air in the room exactly two minutes after the heat source was switched off.
    Give your answer in \({ } ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C } \min ^ { - 1 }\) to 3 significant figures.
  4. Explain why, according to the model, the temperature of the air in the room cannot fall to \(5 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\)
Edexcel P3 2021 October Q7
6 marks Moderate -0.3
7 The mass, \(M \mathrm {~kg}\), of a species of tree can be modelled by the equation $$\log _ { 10 } M = 1.93 \log _ { 10 } r + 0.684$$ where \(r \mathrm {~cm}\) is the base radius of the tree.
The base radius of a particular tree of this species is 45 cm .
According to the model,
  1. find the mass of this tree, giving your answer to 2 significant figures.
  2. Show that the equation of the model can be written in the form $$M = p r ^ { q }$$ giving the values of the constants \(p\) and \(q\) to 3 significant figures.
  3. With reference to the model, interpret the value of the constant \(p\). Q
Edexcel C34 2017 January Q10
10 marks Standard +0.3
10. A population of insects is being studied. The number of insects, \(N\), in the population, is modelled by the equation $$N = \frac { 300 } { 3 + 17 \mathrm { e } ^ { - 0.2 t } } \quad t \in \mathbb { R } , t \geqslant 0$$ where \(t\) is the time, in weeks, from the start of the study.
Using the model,
  1. find the number of insects at the start of the study,
  2. find the number of insects when \(t = 10\),
  3. find the time from the start of the study when there are 82 insects. (Solutions based entirely on graphical or numerical methods are not acceptable.)
  4. Find, by differentiating, the rate, measured in insects per week, at which the number of insects is increasing when \(t = 5\). Give your answer to the nearest whole number.
Edexcel C34 2018 January Q12
12 marks Standard +0.3
  1. (a) Express \(2 \sin x - 4 \cos x\) in the form \(R \sin ( x - \alpha )\), where \(R > 0\) and \(0 < \alpha < \frac { \pi } { 2 }\)
Give the exact value of \(R\) and give the value of \(\alpha\), in radians, to 3 significant figures. In a town in Norway, a student records the number of hours of daylight every day for a year. He models the number of hours of daylight, \(H\), by the continuous function given by the formula $$H = 12 + 4 \sin \left( \frac { 2 \pi t } { 365 } \right) - 8 \cos \left( \frac { 2 \pi t } { 365 } \right) , \quad 0 \leqslant t \leqslant 365$$ where \(t\) is the number of days since he began recording.
(b) Using your answer to part (a), or otherwise, find the maximum and minimum number of hours of daylight given by this formula. Give your answers to 3 significant figures.
(c) Use the formula to find the values of \(t\) when \(H = 17\), giving your answers to the nearest integer.
(Solutions based entirely on graphical or numerical methods are not acceptable.)
VIIIV SIHI NI JIIHM 10 N OCVIIV 5141 NI 3114 M I ON OCVI4V SIHIL NI JIIYM ION OC
Edexcel C3 2011 January Q6
13 marks Moderate -0.3
  1. The function \(f\) is defined by
$$\mathrm { f } : x \mapsto \frac { 3 - 2 x } { x - 5 } , \quad x \in \mathbb { R } , x \neq 5$$
  1. Find \(\mathrm { f } ^ { - 1 } ( x )\).
    (3) \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{3ff6824f-9fbf-4b5b-8bab-91332c549b36-10_901_1091_593_429} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Figure 2}
    \end{figure} The function g has domain \(- 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 8\), and is linear from \(( - 1 , - 9 )\) to \(( 2,0 )\) and from \(( 2,0 )\) to \(( 8,4 )\). Figure 2 shows a sketch of the graph of \(y = \mathrm { g } ( x )\).
  2. Write down the range of g.
  3. Find \(\operatorname { gg } ( 2 )\).
  4. Find \(\mathrm { fg } ( 8 )\).
  5. On separate diagrams, sketch the graph with equation
    1. \(y = | \mathrm { g } ( x ) |\),
    2. \(y = \mathrm { g } ^ { - 1 } ( x )\). Show on each sketch the coordinates of each point at which the graph meets or cuts the axes.
  6. State the domain of the inverse function \(\mathrm { g } ^ { - 1 }\).
Edexcel C3 2013 June Q8
13 marks Standard +0.3
8. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{a80a71cb-42e0-4587-8f8e-bacd69b8d07a-13_721_1227_116_322} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Figure 3}
\end{figure} The population of a town is being studied. The population \(P\), at time \(t\) years from the start of the study, is assumed to be $$P = \frac { 8000 } { 1 + 7 \mathrm { e } ^ { - k t } } , \quad t \geqslant 0$$ where \(k\) is a positive constant.
The graph of \(P\) against \(t\) is shown in Figure 3. Use the given equation to
  1. find the population at the start of the study,
  2. find a value for the expected upper limit of the population. Given also that the population reaches 2500 at 3 years from the start of the study,
  3. calculate the value of \(k\) to 3 decimal places. Using this value for \(k\),
  4. find the population at 10 years from the start of the study, giving your answer to 3 significant figures.
  5. Find, using \(\frac { \mathrm { d } P } { \mathrm {~d} t }\), the rate at which the population is growing at 10 years from the start of the study.
Edexcel C3 2013 June Q8
12 marks Standard +0.3
8. (a) Express \(9 \cos \theta - 2 \sin \theta\) in the form \(R \cos ( \theta + \alpha )\), where \(R > 0\) and \(0 < \alpha < \frac { \pi } { 2 }\). Give the exact value of \(R\) and give the value of \(\alpha\) to 4 decimal places.
(b) (i) State the maximum value of \(9 \cos \theta - 2 \sin \theta\) (ii) Find the value of \(\theta\), for \(0 < \theta < 2 \pi\), at which this maximum occurs. Ruth models the height \(H\) above the ground of a passenger on a Ferris wheel by the equation $$H = 10 - 9 \cos \left( \frac { \pi t } { 5 } \right) + 2 \sin \left( \frac { \pi t } { 5 } \right)$$ where \(H\) is measured in metres and \(t\) is the time in minutes after the wheel starts turning. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{0f6fd881-4d4b-4f80-96cc-6da41cc33c60-14_572_458_719_1158}
(c) Calculate the maximum value of \(H\) predicted by this model, and the value of \(t\), when this maximum first occurs. Give your answers to 2 decimal places.
(d) Determine the time for the Ferris wheel to complete two revolutions.
Edexcel C3 2013 June Q8
14 marks Standard +0.3
8. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{2e29d66c-c3c6-4e4b-acfb-c73c60604d93-11_453_1225_255_369} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Figure 2}
\end{figure} Kate crosses a road, of constant width 7 m , in order to take a photograph of a marathon runner, John, approaching at \(3 \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\).
Kate is 24 m ahead of John when she starts to cross the road from the fixed point \(A\). John passes her as she reaches the other side of the road at a variable point \(B\), as shown in Figure 2.
Kate's speed is \(V \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\) and she moves in a straight line, which makes an angle \(\theta\), \(0 < \theta < 150 ^ { \circ }\), with the edge of the road, as shown in Figure 2. You may assume that \(V\) is given by the formula $$V = \frac { 21 } { 24 \sin \theta + 7 \cos \theta } , \quad 0 < \theta < 150 ^ { \circ }$$
  1. Express \(24 \sin \theta + 7 \cos \theta\) in the form \(R \cos ( \theta - \alpha )\), where \(R\) and \(\alpha\) are constants and where \(R > 0\) and \(0 < \alpha < 90 ^ { \circ }\), giving the value of \(\alpha\) to 2 decimal places. Given that \(\theta\) varies,
  2. find the minimum value of \(V\). Given that Kate's speed has the value found in part (b),
  3. find the distance \(A B\). Given instead that Kate's speed is \(1.68 \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\),
  4. find the two possible values of the angle \(\theta\), given that \(0 < \theta < 150 ^ { \circ }\).
Edexcel C3 2014 June Q7
15 marks Standard +0.3
7. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{be00fdaa-2fe3-4f06-a710-08ec67fb911e-13_456_881_214_534} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Figure 1}
\end{figure} Figure 1 shows the curve \(C\), with equation \(y = 6 \cos x + 2.5 \sin x\) for \(0 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \pi\)
  1. Express \(6 \cos x + 2.5 \sin x\) in the form \(R \cos ( x - \alpha )\), where \(R\) and \(\alpha\) are constants with \(R > 0\) and \(0 < \alpha < \frac { \pi } { 2 }\). Give your value of \(\alpha\) to 3 decimal places.
  2. Find the coordinates of the points on the graph where the curve \(C\) crosses the coordinate axes. A student records the number of hours of daylight each Sunday throughout the year. She starts on the last Sunday in May with a recording of 18 hours, and continues until her final recording 52 weeks later. She models her results with the continuous function given by $$H = 12 + 6 \cos \left( \frac { 2 \pi t } { 52 } \right) + 2.5 \sin \left( \frac { 2 \pi t } { 52 } \right) , \quad 0 \leqslant t \leqslant 52$$ where \(H\) is the number of hours of daylight and \(t\) is the number of weeks since her first recording. Use this function to find
  3. the maximum and minimum values of \(H\) predicted by the model,
  4. the values for \(t\) when \(H = 16\), giving your answers to the nearest whole number.
    [0pt] [You must show your working. Answers based entirely on graphical or numerical methods are not acceptable.] \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{be00fdaa-2fe3-4f06-a710-08ec67fb911e-14_40_58_2460_1893}
Edexcel C3 2014 June Q8
11 marks Standard +0.8
8. A rare species of primrose is being studied. The population, \(P\), of primroses at time \(t\) years after the study started is modelled by the equation $$P = \frac { 800 \mathrm { e } ^ { 0.1 t } } { 1 + 3 \mathrm { e } ^ { 0.1 t } } , \quad t \geqslant 0 , \quad t \in \mathbb { R }$$
  1. Calculate the number of primroses at the start of the study.
  2. Find the exact value of \(t\) when \(P = 250\), giving your answer in the form \(a \ln ( b )\) where \(a\) and \(b\) are integers.
  3. Find the exact value of \(\frac { \mathrm { d } P } { \mathrm {~d} t }\) when \(t = 10\). Give your answer in its simplest form.
  4. Explain why the population of primroses can never be 270
Edexcel C3 2015 June Q4
7 marks Moderate -0.3
  1. Water is being heated in an electric kettle. The temperature, \(\theta ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\), of the water \(t\) seconds after the kettle is switched on, is modelled by the equation
$$\theta = 120 - 100 \mathrm { e } ^ { - \lambda t } , \quad 0 \leqslant t \leqslant T$$
  1. State the value of \(\theta\) when \(t = 0\) Given that the temperature of the water in the kettle is \(70 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\) when \(t = 40\),
  2. find the exact value of \(\lambda\), giving your answer in the form \(\frac { \ln a } { b }\), where \(a\) and \(b\) are integers. When \(t = T\), the temperature of the water reaches \(100 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\) and the kettle switches off.
  3. Calculate the value of \(T\) to the nearest whole number.
Edexcel P4 2023 October Q7
12 marks Standard +0.3
  1. The number of goats on an island is being monitored.
When monitoring began there were 3000 goats on the island.
In a simple model, the number of goats, \(x\), in thousands, is modelled by the equation $$x = \frac { k ( 9 t + 5 ) } { 4 t + 3 }$$ where \(k\) is a constant and \(t\) is the number of years after monitoring began.
  1. Show that \(k = 1.8\)
  2. Hence calculate the long-term population of goats predicted by this model. In a second model, the number of goats, \(x\), in thousands, is modelled by the differential equation $$3 \frac { \mathrm {~d} x } { \mathrm {~d} t } = x ( 9 - 2 x )$$
  3. Write \(\frac { 3 } { x ( 9 - 2 x ) }\) in partial fraction form.
  4. Solve the differential equation with the initial condition to show that $$x = \frac { 9 } { 2 + \mathrm { e } ^ { - 3 t } }$$
  5. Find the long-term population of goats predicted by this second model.
OCR C1 2007 June Q5
6 marks Moderate -0.3
5 \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{581ef815-59f0-434e-a7ec-9128e74c0323-2_256_1113_1366_516} The diagram shows a rectangular enclosure, with a wall forming one side. A rope, of length 20 metres, is used to form the remaining three sides. The width of the enclosure is x metres.
  1. Show that the enclosed area, \(\mathrm { Am } ^ { 2 }\), is given by $$A = 20 x - 2 x ^ { 2 } .$$
  2. Use differentiation to find the maximum value of A .
OCR C1 Q10
13 marks Standard +0.3
10. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{6ef55dbd-f18d-4264-b80c-d181473ca7b3-3_531_786_246_523} The diagram shows an open-topped cylindrical container made from cardboard. The cylinder is of height \(h \mathrm {~cm}\) and base radius \(r \mathrm {~cm}\). Given that the area of card used to make the container is \(192 \pi \mathrm {~cm} ^ { 2 }\),
  1. show that the capacity of the container, \(\mathrm { V } \mathrm { cm } ^ { 3 }\), is given by $$V = 96 \pi r - \frac { 1 } { 2 } \pi r ^ { 3 } .$$
  2. Find the value of \(r\) for which \(V\) is stationary.
  3. Find the corresponding value of \(V\) in terms of \(\pi\).
  4. Determine whether this is a maximum or a minimum value of \(V\).
OCR MEI C1 Q3
11 marks Moderate -0.3
3 The curve with equation \(y = \frac { 1 } { 5 } x ( 10 - x )\) is used to model the arch of a bridge over a road, where \(x\) and \(y\) are distances in metres, with the origin as shown in Fig. 12.1. The \(x\)-axis represents the road surface. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{fed65420-9ef9-41d6-a58f-3b0f801d6225-3_520_873_478_675} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 12.1}
\end{figure}
  1. State the value of \(x\) at A , where the arch meets the road.
  2. Using symmetry, or otherwise, state the value of \(x\) at the maximum point B of the graph. Hence find the height of the arch.
  3. Fig. 12.2 shows a lorry which is 4 m high and 3 m wide, with its cross-section modelled as a rectangle. Find the value of \(d\) when the lorry is in the centre of the road. Hence show that the lorry can pass through this arch. \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{fed65420-9ef9-41d6-a58f-3b0f801d6225-3_528_870_1558_717} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 12.2}
    \end{figure}
  4. Another lorry, also modelled as having a rectangular cross-section, has height 4.5 m and just touches the arch when it is in the centre of the road. Find the width of this lorry, giving your answer in surd form.
OCR MEI C2 Q10
12 marks Moderate -0.3
10 A function \(y = \mathrm { f } ( x )\) may be modelled by the equation \(y = a x ^ { b }\).
  1. Show why, if this is so, then plotting \(\log y\) against \(\log x\) will produce a straight line graph. Explain how \(a\) and \(b\) may be determined experimentally from the graph.
  2. Values of \(x\) and \(y\) are given below. By plotting a graph of logy against log \(x\), show that the model above is appropriate for this set of data and find values of \(a\) and \(b\) given that \(a\) is an integer and \(b\) can be written as a fraction with a denominator less than 10 .
    \(x\)23456
    \(y\)4.65.05.35.55.7
  3. Use your formula from part (ii) to estimate the value of \(y\) when \(x = 2.8\).
OCR MEI C2 Q12
12 marks Moderate -0.3
12 Fig. 12 shows a window. The base and sides are parts of a rectangle with dimensions \(2 x\) metres horizontally by \(y\) metres vertically. The top is a semicircle of radius \(x\) metres. The perimeter of the window is 10 metres. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{73d1c02b-1b7b-426d-a171-c762597cfed4-4_428_433_1638_766} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 12}
\end{figure}
  1. Express \(y\) as a function of \(x\).
  2. Find the total area, \(A \mathrm {~m} ^ { 2 }\), in terms of \(x\) and \(y\). Use your answer to part (i) to show that this simplifies to $$A = 10 x - 2 x ^ { 2 } - \frac { 1 } { 2 } \pi x ^ { 2 }$$
  3. Prove that for the maximum value of \(A\), \(y = x\) exactly.
    \section*{MEI STRUCTURED MATHEMATICS } \section*{CONCEPTS FOR ADVANCED MATHEMATICS, C2} \section*{Practice Paper C2-B
    Insert sheet for question 11} 11 Speed-time graph with the first two points plotted. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{73d1c02b-1b7b-426d-a171-c762597cfed4-5_768_1772_1389_205}
OCR MEI C1 2010 January Q12
11 marks Moderate -0.3
12 The curve with equation \(y = \frac { 1 } { 5 } x ( 10 - x )\) is used to model the arch of a bridge over a road, where \(x\) and \(y\) are distances in metres, with the origin as shown in Fig. 12.1. The \(x\)-axis represents the road surface. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{ede57eaa-2645-49df-aa09-68b6d5f35a9a-4_524_885_406_628} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 12.1}
\end{figure}
  1. State the value of \(x\) at A , where the arch meets the road.
  2. Using symmetry, or otherwise, state the value of \(x\) at the maximum point B of the graph. Hence find the height of the arch.
  3. Fig. 12.2 shows a lorry which is 4 m high and 3 m wide, with its cross-section modelled as a rectangle. Find the value of \(d\) when the lorry is in the centre of the road. Hence show that the lorry can pass through this arch. \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{ede57eaa-2645-49df-aa09-68b6d5f35a9a-4_529_871_1489_678} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 12.2}
    \end{figure}
  4. Another lorry, also modelled as having a rectangular cross-section, has height 4.5 m and just touches the arch when it is in the centre of the road. Find the width of this lorry, giving your answer in surd form.
    [0pt] [5]
OCR MEI C1 2011 January Q9
5 marks Moderate -0.8
9 Fig. 9 shows a trapezium ABCD , with the lengths in centimetres of three of its sides. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{754d34e4-2f47-48b7-9fbb-6caa7ac21eb7-3_464_878_347_632} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 9}
\end{figure} This trapezium has area \(140 \mathrm {~cm} ^ { 2 }\).
  1. Show that \(x ^ { 2 } + 2 x - 35 = 0\).
  2. Hence find the length of side AB of the trapezium.
OCR MEI C2 2011 June Q11
11 marks Moderate -0.3
11
  1. The standard formulae for the volume \(V\) and total surface area \(A\) of a solid cylinder of radius \(r\) and height \(h\) are $$V = \pi r ^ { 2 } h \quad \text { and } \quad A = 2 \pi r ^ { 2 } + 2 \pi r h .$$ Use these to show that, for a cylinder with \(A = 200\), $$V = 100 r - \pi r ^ { 3 }$$
  2. Find \(\frac { \mathrm { d } V } { \mathrm {~d} r }\) and \(\frac { \mathrm { d } ^ { 2 } V } { \mathrm {~d} r ^ { 2 } }\).
  3. Use calculus to find the value of \(r\) that gives a maximum value for \(V\) and hence find this maximum value, giving your answers correct to 3 significant figures.
OCR C3 2012 January Q8
10 marks Standard +0.3
8
  1. Express \(\cos 4 \theta\) in terms of \(\sin 2 \theta\) and hence show that \(\cos 4 \theta\) can be expressed in the form \(1 - k \sin ^ { 2 } \theta \cos ^ { 2 } \theta\), where \(k\) is a constant to be determined.
  2. Hence find the exact value of \(\sin ^ { 2 } \left( \frac { 1 } { 24 } \pi \right) \cos ^ { 2 } \left( \frac { 1 } { 24 } \pi \right)\).
  3. By expressing \(2 \cos ^ { 2 } 2 \theta - \frac { 8 } { 3 } \sin ^ { 2 } \theta \cos ^ { 2 } \theta\) in terms of \(\cos 4 \theta\), find the greatest and least possible values of $$2 \cos ^ { 2 } 2 \theta - \frac { 8 } { 3 } \sin ^ { 2 } \theta \cos ^ { 2 } \theta$$ as \(\theta\) varies. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{89e54367-bb83-483a-add5-0527b71a5cac-5_606_926_267_552} The function f is defined for all real values of \(x\) by $$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = k \left( x ^ { 2 } + 4 x \right) ,$$ where \(k\) is a positive constant. The diagram shows the curve with equation \(y = \mathrm { f } ( x )\).
  4. The curve \(y = x ^ { 2 }\) can be transformed to the curve \(y = \mathrm { f } ( x )\) by the following sequence of transformations: a translation parallel to the \(x\)-axis,
    a translation parallel to the \(y\)-axis,
    a stretch. a translation parallel to the \(x\)-axis, a translation parallel to the \(y\)-axis, a stretch.
    Give details, in terms of \(k\) where appropriate, of these transformations.
  5. Find the range of f in terms of \(k\).
  6. It is given that there are three distinct values of \(x\) which satisfy the equation \(| \mathrm { f } ( x ) | = 20\). Find the value of \(k\) and determine exactly the three values of \(x\) which satisfy the equation in this case.
CAIE FP1 2010 November Q12 EITHER
Challenging +1.8
The curve \(C\) has equation $$y = \frac { x ^ { 2 } + 2 \lambda x } { x ^ { 2 } - 2 x + \lambda }$$ where \(\lambda\) is a constant and \(\lambda \neq - 1\).
  1. Show that \(C\) has at most two stationary points.
  2. Show that if \(C\) has exactly two stationary points then \(\lambda > - \frac { 5 } { 4 }\).
  3. Find the set of values of \(\lambda\) such that \(C\) has two vertical asymptotes.
  4. Find the \(x\)-coordinates of the points of intersection of \(C\) with
    1. the \(x\)-axis,
    2. the horizontal asymptote.
    3. Sketch \(C\) in each of the cases
      (a) \(\lambda < - 2\),
      (b) \(\lambda > 2\).
CAIE FP1 2012 November Q9
12 marks Standard +0.8
9 The curve \(C\) has equation \(y = \frac { x ^ { 2 } - 3 x + 3 } { x - 2 }\). Find the equations of the asymptotes of \(C\). Show that there are no points on \(C\) for which \(- 1 < y < 3\). Find the coordinates of the turning points of \(C\). Sketch \(C\).
OCR H240/01 2020 November Q6
9 marks Moderate -0.3
6 A mobile phone company records their annual sales on \(31 ^ { \text {st } }\) December every year.
Paul thinks that the annual sales, \(S\) million, can be modelled by the equation \(S = a b ^ { t }\), where \(a\) and \(b\) are both positive constants and \(t\) is the number of years since \(31 ^ { \text {st } }\) December 2015. Paul tests his theory by using the annual sales figures from \(31 ^ { \text {st } }\) December 2015 to \(31 { } ^ { \text {st } }\) December 2019. He plots these results on a graph, with \(t\) on the horizontal axis and \(\log _ { 10 } S\) on the vertical axis.
  1. Explain why, if Paul's model is correct, the results should lie on a straight line of best fit on his graph. The results lie on a straight line of best fit which has a gradient of 0.146 and an intercept on the vertical axis of 0.583 .
  2. Use these values to obtain estimates for \(a\) and \(b\), correct to 2 significant figures.
  3. Use this model to predict the year in which, on the \(31 { } ^ { \text {st } }\) December, the annual sales would first be recorded as greater than 200 million.
  4. Give a reason why this prediction may not be reliable.
OCR H240/01 2020 November Q7
11 marks Standard +0.3
7 Two students, Anna and Ben, are starting a revision programme. They will both revise for 30 minutes on Day 1. Anna will increase her revision time by 15 minutes for every subsequent day. Ben will increase his revision time by \(10 \%\) for every subsequent day.
  1. Verify that on Day 10 Anna does 94 minutes more revision than Ben, correct to the nearest minute. Let Day \(X\) be the first day on which Ben does more revision than Anna.
  2. Show that \(X\) satisfies the inequality \(X > \log _ { 1.1 } ( 0.5 X + 0.5 ) + 1\).
  3. Use the iterative formula \(x _ { n + 1 } = \log _ { 1.1 } \left( 0.5 x _ { n } + 0.5 \right) + 1\) with \(x _ { 1 } = 10\) to find the value of \(X\). You should show the result of each iteration.
    1. Give a reason why Anna's revision programme may not be realistic.
    2. Give a different reason why Ben's revision programme may not be realistic.