OCR MEI S1 (Statistics 1) 2009 January

1 A supermarket chain buys a batch of 10000 scratchcard draw tickets for sale in its stores. 50 of these tickets have a \(\pounds 10\) prize, 20 of them have a \(\pounds 100\) prize, one of them has a \(\pounds 5000\) prize and all of the rest have no prize. This information is summarised in the frequency table below.

1. Find the mean and standard deviation of the prize money per ticket.
2. I buy two of these tickets at random. Find the probability that I win either two \(\pounds 10\) prizes or two \(\pounds 100\) prizes.

2 Thomas has six tiles, each with a different letter of his name on it.

1. Thomas arranges these letters in a random order. Find the probability that he arranges them in the correct order to spell his name.
2. On another occasion, Thomas picks three of the six letters at random. Find the probability that he picks the letters T, O and M (in any order).

3 A zoologist is studying the feeding behaviour of a group of 4 gorillas. The random variable \(X\) represents the number of gorillas that are feeding at a randomly chosen moment. The probability distribution of \(X\) is shown in the table below.

1. Find the value of \(p\).
2. Find the expectation and variance of \(X\).
3. The zoologist observes the gorillas on two further occasions. Find the probability that there are at least two gorillas feeding on both occasions.

4 A pottery manufacturer makes teapots in batches of 50. On average 3\% of teapots are faulty.

1. Find the probability that in a batch of 50 there is
   (A) exactly one faulty teapot,
   (B) more than one faulty teapot.
2. The manufacturer produces 240 batches of 50 teapots during one month. Find the expected number of batches which contain exactly one faulty teapot.

5 Each day Anna drives to work.

• \(R\) is the event that it is raining.
• \(L\) is the event that Anna arrives at work late.

You are given that \(\mathrm { P } ( R ) = 0.36 , \mathrm { P } ( L ) = 0.25\) and \(\mathrm { P } ( R \cap L ) = 0.2\).

1. Determine whether the events \(R\) and \(L\) are independent.
2. Draw a Venn diagram showing the events \(R\) and \(L\). Fill in the probability corresponding to each of the four regions of your diagram.
3. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( L \mid R )\). State what this probability represents.

6 The temperature of a supermarket fridge is regularly checked to ensure that it is working correctly. Over a period of three months the temperature (measured in degrees Celsius) is checked 600 times. These temperatures are displayed in the cumulative frequency diagram below.
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1. Use the diagram to estimate the median and interquartile range of the data.
2. Use your answers to part (i) to show that there are very few, if any, outliers in the sample.
3. Suppose that an outlier is identified in these data. Discuss whether it should be excluded from any further analysis.
4. Copy and complete the frequency table below for these data.

   Temperature \(( t\) degrees Celsius \()\)	\(3.0 \leqslant t \leqslant 3.4\)	\(3.4 < t \leqslant 3.8\)	\(3.8 < t \leqslant 4.2\)	\(4.2 < t \leqslant 4.6\)	\(4.6 < t \leqslant 5.0\)
   Frequency			243	157

5. Use your table to calculate an estimate of the mean.
6. The standard deviation of the temperatures in degrees Celsius is 0.379 . The temperatures are converted from degrees Celsius into degrees Fahrenheit using the formula \(F = 1.8 C + 32\). Hence estimate the mean and find the standard deviation of the temperatures in degrees Fahrenheit.

7 An online shopping company takes orders through its website. On average \(80 \%\) of orders from the website are delivered within 24 hours. The quality controller selects 10 orders at random to check when they are delivered.

1. Find the probability that
   (A) exactly 8 of these orders are delivered within 24 hours,
   (B) at least 8 of these orders are delivered within 24 hours. The company changes its delivery method. The quality controller suspects that the changes will mean that fewer than \(80 \%\) of orders will be delivered within 24 hours. A random sample of 18 orders is checked and it is found that 12 of them arrive within 24 hours.
2. Write down suitable hypotheses and carry out a test at the \(5 \%\) significance level to determine whether there is any evidence to support the quality controller's suspicion.
3. A statistician argues that it is possible that the new method could result in either better or worse delivery times. Therefore it would be better to carry out a 2 -tail test at the \(5 \%\) significance level. State the alternative hypothesis for this test. Assuming that the sample size is still 18, find the critical region for this test, showing all of your calculations.