Edexcel S2 (Statistics 2) 2011 January

A disease occurs in 3\% of a population.

1. State any assumptions that are required to model the number of people with the disease in a random sample of size \(n\) as a binomial distribution. [2]
2. Using this model, find the probability of exactly 2 people having the disease in a random sample of 10 people. [3]
3. Find the mean and variance of the number of people with the disease in a random sample of 100 people. [2]

A doctor tests a random sample of 100 patients for the disease. He decides to offer all patients a vaccination to protect them from the disease if more than 5 of the sample have the disease.

1. Using a suitable approximation, find the probability that the doctor will offer all patients a vaccination. [3]

A student takes a multiple choice test. The test is made up of 10 questions each with 5 possible answers. The student gets 4 questions correct. Her teacher claims she was guessing the answers. Using a one tailed test, at the 5\% level of significance, test whether or not there is evidence to reject the teacher's claim. State your hypotheses clearly. [6]

The continuous random variable \(X\) is uniformly distributed over the interval \([-1,3]\). Find

1. E(\(X\)) [1]
2. Var(\(X\)) [2]
3. E(\(X^2\)) [2]
4. P(\(X < 1.4\)) [1]

A total of 40 observations of \(X\) are made.

1. Find the probability that at least 10 of these observations are negative. [5]

Richard regularly travels to work on a ferry. Over a long period of time, Richard has found that the ferry is late on average 2 times every week. The company buys a new ferry to improve the service. In the 4-week period after the new ferry is launched, Richard finds the ferry is late 3 times and claims the service has improved. Assuming that the number of times the ferry is late has a Poisson distribution, test Richard's claim at the 5\% level of significance. State your hypotheses clearly. [6]

A continuous random variable \(X\) has the probability density function f(\(x\)) shown in Figure 1. \includegraphics{figure_1} Figure 1

1. Show that f(\(x\)) = \(4 - 8x\) for \(0 \leqslant x \leqslant 0.5\) and specify f(\(x\)) for all real values of \(x\). [4]
2. Find the cumulative distribution function F(\(x\)). [4]
3. Find the median of \(X\). [3]
4. Write down the mode of \(X\). [1]
5. State, with a reason, the skewness of \(X\). [1]

Cars arrive at a motorway toll booth at an average rate of 150 per hour.

1. Suggest a suitable distribution to model the number of cars arriving at the toll booth, \(X\), per minute. [2]
2. State clearly any assumptions you have made by suggesting this model. [2]

Using your model,

1. find the probability that in any given minute
   1. no cars arrive,
   2. more than 3 cars arrive.
   [3]
2. In any given 4 minute period, find \(m\) such that P(\(X > m\)) = 0.0487 [3]
3. Using a suitable approximation find the probability that fewer than 15 cars arrive in any given 10 minute period. [6]

The queuing time in minutes, \(X\), of a customer at a post office is modelled by the probability density function $$\text{f}(x) = \begin{cases} kx(81 - x^2) & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 9 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}$$

1. Show that \(k = \frac{4}{6561}\). [3]

Using integration, find

1. the mean queuing time of a customer, [4]
2. the probability that a customer will queue for more than 5 minutes. [3]

Three independent customers shop at the post office.

1. Find the probability that at least 2 of the customers queue for more than 5 minutes. [3]