OCR Stats 1 (Statistics 1) 2017 Specimen

1 Simplify fully.

1. \(\sqrt { a ^ { 3 } } \times \sqrt { 16 a }\)
2. \(\left( 4 b ^ { 6 } \right) ^ { \frac { 5 } { 2 } }\)

3 A publisher has to choose the price at which to sell a certain new book.
The total profit, \(\pounds t\), that the publisher will make depends on the price, \(\pounds p\).
He decides to use a model that includes the following assumptions.

• If the price is low, many copies will be sold, but the profit on each copy sold will be small, and the total profit will be small.
• If the price is high, the profit on each copy sold will be high, but few copies will be sold, and the total profit will be small.

The graphs below show two possible models. \begin{figure}[h] \end{figure} \begin{figure}[h] \end{figure}

1. Explain how model A is inconsistent with one of the assumptions given above.
2. Given that the equation of the curve in model B is quadratic, show that this equation is of the form \(t = k \left( 12 p - p ^ { 2 } \right)\), and find the value of the constant \(k\).
3. The publisher needs to make a total profit of at least \(\pounds 6400\). Use the equation found in part (b) to find the range of values within which model B suggests that the price of the book must lie.
4. Comment briefly on how realistic model B may be in the following cases.
   • \(p = 0\)
   • \(p = 12.1\)

4

1. Express \(\frac { 1 } { ( x - 1 ) ( x + 2 ) }\) in partial fractions
2. In this question you must show detailed reasoning. Hence find \(\int _ { 2 } ^ { 3 } \frac { 1 } { ( x - 1 ) ( x + 2 ) } \mathrm { d } x\).
   Give your answer in its simplest form.

5 The diagram shows the circle with centre O and radius 2 , and the parabola \(y = \frac { 1 } { \sqrt { 3 } } \left( 4 - x ^ { 2 } \right)\).
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-06_850_916_996_352} The circle meets the parabola at points \(P\) and \(Q\), as shown in the diagram.

1. Verify that the coordinates of \(Q\) are \(( 1 , \sqrt { 3 } )\).
2. Find the exact area of the shaded region enclosed by the arc \(P Q\) of the circle and the parabola.

6 Helga invests \(\pounds 4000\) in a savings account.
After \(t\) days, her investment is worth \(\pounds y\).
The rate of increase of \(y\) is \(k y\), where \(k\) is a constant.

1. Write down a differential equation in terms of \(t , y\) and \(k\).
2. Solve your differential equation to find the value of Helga's investment after \(t\) days. Give your answer in terms of \(k\) and \(t\). It is given that \(k = \frac { 1 } { 365 } \ln \left( 1 + \frac { r } { 100 } \right)\) where \(r \%\) is the rate of interest per annum.
   During the first year the rate of interest is \(6 \%\) per annum.
3. Find the value of Helga's investment after 90 days. After one year (365 days), the rate of interest drops to 5\% per annum.
4. Find the total time that it will take for Helga's investment to double in value.

7

1. The heights of English men aged 25 to 34 are normally distributed with mean 178 cm and standard deviation 8 cm .
   Three English men aged 25 to 34 are chosen at random.
   Find the probability that all three men have a height less than 194 cm .
2. The diagram shows the distribution of heights of Scottish women aged 25 to 34 .
   \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-08_559_1389_855_412} The distribution is approximately normal. Use the diagram in the Printed Answer Booklet to estimate the standard deviation of these heights, explaining your method.

9 The diagram below shows some "Cycle to work" data taken from the 2001 and 2011 UK censuses. The diagram shows the percentages, by age group, of male and female workers in England and Wales, excluding London, who cycled to work in 2001 and 2011.
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-10_899_1537_524_283} The following questions refer to the workers represented by the graphs in the diagram.

1. A researcher is going to take a sample of men and a sample of women and ask them whether or not they cycle to work. Why would it be more important to stratify the sample of men? A research project followed a randomly chosen large sample of the group of male workers who were aged 30-34 in 2001.
2. Does the diagram suggest that the proportion of this group who cycled to work has increased or decreased from 2001 to 2011?
   Justify your answer.
3. Write down one assumption that you have to make about these workers in order to draw this conclusion.

12 The table shows information for England and Wales, taken from the UK 2011 census. A random sample of 10000 people in another country was chosen in 2011 , and the number, \(m\), of children aged 5-17 was noted.
It was found that there was evidence at the \(2.5 \%\) level that the proportion of children aged \(5 - 17\) in the same year was higher than in the UK.
Unfortunately, when the results were recorded the value of \(m\) was omitted. Use an appropriate normal distribution to find an estimate of the smallest possible value of \(m\).

13 The table and the four scatter diagrams below show data taken from the 2011 UK census for four regions. On the scatter diagrams the names have been replaced by letters.
The table shows, for each region, the mean and standard deviation of the proportion of workers in each Local Authority who travel to work by driving a car or van and the proportion of workers in each Local Authority who travel to work as a passenger in a car or van.
Each scatter diagram shows, for each of the Local Authorities in a particular region, the proportion of workers who travel to work by driving a car or van and the proportion of workers who travel to work as a passenger in a car or van. Region A
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-14_607_1047_1228_369} Region B
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-14_598_1043_1927_371}
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-15_678_1104_227_317} Region D
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{cac31da4-f1ad-4c34-a47f-2bc68c2304f1-15_615_1058_1048_367}

1. Using the values given in the table, match each region to its corresponding scatter diagram, explaining your reasoning.
2. Steven claims that the outlier in the scatter diagram for Region C consists of a group of small islands. Explain whether or not the data given above support his claim.
3. One of the Local Authorities in Region B consists of a single large island. Explain whether or not you would expect this Local Authority to appear as an outlier in the scatter diagram for Region B.